ACGL - Arch Capital Group... Stock Analysis | Stock Taper
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Arch Capital Group Ltd.

ACGL

Arch Capital Group Ltd. NASDAQ
$96.99 -0.49% (-0.48)

Market Cap $34.73 B
52w High $103.39
52w Low $82.45
Dividend Yield 5.16%
Frequency Special
P/E 8.36
Volume 1.56M
Outstanding Shares 356.27M

Income Statement

Period Revenue Operating Expense Net Income Net Profit Margin Earnings Per Share EBITDA
Q4-2025 $5.39B $941M $1.24B 22.98% $3.4 $1.5B
Q3-2025 $4.98B $488M $1.35B 27.12% $3.63 $1.59B
Q2-2025 $4.97B $435M $1.24B 24.87% $3.3 $1.5B
Q1-2025 $4.59B $563M $574M 12.5% $1.51 $762M
Q4-2024 $5.02B $703M $935M 18.63% $2.48 $1.07B

What's going well?

Revenue is growing fast, up 8% this quarter, and gross margins are improving. The company remains solidly profitable with strong cash generation.

What's concerning?

Operating expenses jumped dramatically, squeezing both operating and net margins. Profits and earnings per share both fell, which could worry investors if the cost spike continues.

Balance Statement

Period Cash & Short-term Total Assets Total Liabilities Total Equity
Q4-2025 $11.54B $67.06B $42.85B $24.21B
Q3-2025 $11.17B $79.19B $55.47B $23.72B
Q2-2025 $10.31B $78.79B $55.75B $23.04B
Q1-2025 $10.03B $75.18B $53.63B $21.55B
Q4-2024 $9.31B $70.91B $50.09B $20.82B

What's financially strong about this company?

Debt is low and entirely long-term, so there are no near-term repayment pressures. The company has a large equity cushion and a long track record of profitability. Asset quality is high, with little intangible risk and no goodwill.

What are the financial risks or weaknesses?

Cash and short-term investments fell steeply, which could limit flexibility in a crisis. The drop in deferred revenue and total assets may signal shrinking business activity or a strategic shift. Liquidity is adequate but not as comfortable as before.

Cash Flow Statement

Period Net Income Cash From Operations Cash From Investing Cash From Financing Net Change Free Cash Flow
Q4-2025 $1.24B $1.4B $-417M $-778M $213M $1.39B
Q3-2025 $1.35B $2.19B $-1.38B $-743M $46M $2.17B
Q2-2025 $1.24B $1.12B $-1.23B $-128M $-177M $1.11B
Q1-2025 $574M $1.46B $-1.01B $-241M $225M $1.45B
Q4-2024 $935M $1.57B $420M $-1.89B $48M $1.56B

What's strong about this company's cash flow?

ACGL consistently generates more cash than it reports in profits, with high-quality earnings and a big cash cushion. The company funds itself, buys back shares, and pays dividends—all from internal cash.

What are the cash flow concerns?

Operating and free cash flow fell sharply this quarter, and working capital swings may not be sustainable. If this trend continues, cash generation could weaken.

Q4 2025 Earnings Call Summary

Read Call Summary

5-Year Trend Analysis

A comprehensive look at Arch Capital Group Ltd.'s financial evolution and strategic trajectory over the past five years.

+ Strengths

Arch Capital combines a record of strong earnings growth, robust margins, and excellent cash generation with a conservative balance sheet and diversified business mix. Its culture of disciplined underwriting and skill in managing through insurance cycles underpin its financial performance. The company’s push into data‑driven underwriting, modern claims systems, and specialty niches—supported by selective acquisitions—adds further depth to its competitive position and earnings resilience.

! Risks

The recent drop in revenue and operating income introduces uncertainty about near‑term growth and may reflect tougher market conditions or competitive pressure. Arch is inherently exposed to cyclical insurance pricing, catastrophic events, and swings in mortgage and credit markets. The large step‑up in cash returns to shareholders raises questions about how payout levels will be balanced against future growth and risk needs. Accounting quirks in current assets and liabilities, along with ongoing acquisition and technology integration efforts, add further complexity and execution risk.

Outlook

Taken together, the data suggest a company that remains fundamentally strong and well‑positioned, but now facing a more complex environment after several years of almost uninterrupted improvement. If the recent revenue softness proves temporary and Arch continues to execute on its underwriting, technology, and specialty growth strategies, it appears capable of sustaining attractive profitability and cash generation. However, results will remain sensitive to industry cycles, catastrophe experience, and the success of its innovation and acquisition programs, so some variability in performance should be expected.