ACGL - Arch Capital Group... Stock Analysis | Stock Taper
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Arch Capital Group Ltd.

ACGL

Arch Capital Group Ltd. NASDAQ
$100.15 0.50% (+0.50)

Market Cap $36.32 B
52w High $103.39
52w Low $82.45
Dividend Yield 5.16%
Frequency Special
P/E 8.63
Volume 2.22M
Outstanding Shares 362.63M

Income Statement

Period Revenue Operating Expense Net Income Net Profit Margin Earnings Per Share EBITDA
Q4-2025 $4.78B $1.05B $1.24B 25.91% $3.36 $1.53B
Q3-2025 $4.98B $488M $1.35B 27.12% $3.63 $1.59B
Q2-2025 $4.97B $435M $1.24B 24.87% $3.3 $1.5B
Q1-2025 $4.59B $563M $574M 12.5% $1.51 $762M
Q4-2024 $4.51B $459M $935M 20.73% $2.48 $1.07B

What's going well?

The company dramatically improved its gross margin, keeping more from each sale. Interest and tax costs remain low, and the business is still solidly profitable.

What's concerning?

Revenue is shrinking and operating expenses jumped sharply, which hurt profits. If these trends continue, future earnings could come under pressure.

Balance Statement

Period Cash & Short-term Total Assets Total Liabilities Total Equity
Q4-2025 $993M $67.06B $42.85B $24.21B
Q3-2025 $11.17B $79.19B $55.47B $23.72B
Q2-2025 $10.31B $78.79B $55.75B $23.04B
Q1-2025 $1.19B $75.18B $53.63B $21.55B
Q4-2024 $9.31B $70.91B $50.09B $20.82B

What's financially strong about this company?

The company has very low debt, strong positive equity, and a long record of profits. Most assets are high quality, with little to no goodwill or intangible risk.

What are the financial risks or weaknesses?

Cash and liquid assets fell sharply this quarter, and current assets are now only just above current liabilities. The sudden drop in receivables and payables is unusual and could signal a big operational change or one-off event.

Cash Flow Statement

Period Net Income Cash From Operations Cash From Investing Cash From Financing Net Change Free Cash Flow
Q4-2025 $1.24B $1.4B $-417M $-778M $213M $1.39B
Q3-2025 $1.35B $2.19B $-1.38B $-743M $46M $2.17B
Q2-2025 $1.24B $1.12B $-1.23B $-128M $-177M $1.11B
Q1-2025 $574M $1.46B $-1.01B $-241M $225M $1.45B
Q4-2024 $935M $1.57B $420M $-1.89B $48M $1.56B

What's strong about this company's cash flow?

ACGL produces more cash than it reports in profits, with $1.4 billion in operating cash flow and $1.39 billion in free cash flow. The company is self-funding, returning significant cash to shareholders through buybacks, and has a healthy cash cushion.

What are the cash flow concerns?

Operating and free cash flow both dropped by over a third compared to last quarter, and working capital swings may not be repeatable. Receivables are rising, which could signal slower customer payments.

Q4 2025 Earnings Call Summary

Read Call Summary

5-Year Trend Analysis

A comprehensive look at Arch Capital Group Ltd.'s financial evolution and strategic trajectory over the past five years.

+ Strengths

Arch Capital combines a record of strong earnings growth, robust margins, and excellent cash generation with a conservative balance sheet and diversified business mix. Its culture of disciplined underwriting and skill in managing through insurance cycles underpin its financial performance. The company’s push into data‑driven underwriting, modern claims systems, and specialty niches—supported by selective acquisitions—adds further depth to its competitive position and earnings resilience.

! Risks

The recent drop in revenue and operating income introduces uncertainty about near‑term growth and may reflect tougher market conditions or competitive pressure. Arch is inherently exposed to cyclical insurance pricing, catastrophic events, and swings in mortgage and credit markets. The large step‑up in cash returns to shareholders raises questions about how payout levels will be balanced against future growth and risk needs. Accounting quirks in current assets and liabilities, along with ongoing acquisition and technology integration efforts, add further complexity and execution risk.

Outlook

Taken together, the data suggest a company that remains fundamentally strong and well‑positioned, but now facing a more complex environment after several years of almost uninterrupted improvement. If the recent revenue softness proves temporary and Arch continues to execute on its underwriting, technology, and specialty growth strategies, it appears capable of sustaining attractive profitability and cash generation. However, results will remain sensitive to industry cycles, catastrophe experience, and the success of its innovation and acquisition programs, so some variability in performance should be expected.