ACGLO - Arch Capital Group... Stock Analysis | Stock Taper
Logo
Arch Capital Group Ltd.

ACGLO

Arch Capital Group Ltd. NASDAQ
$20.79 -0.62% (-0.13)

Market Cap $12.12 B
52w High $22.20
52w Low $19.99
Dividend Yield 6.47%
Frequency Quarterly
P/E 4.43
Volume 60.63K
Outstanding Shares 583.09M

Income Statement

Period Revenue Operating Expense Net Income Net Profit Margin Earnings Per Share EBITDA
Q4-2025 $4.78B $1.05B $1.24B 25.91% $3.36 $1.53B
Q3-2025 $4.98B $488M $1.35B 27.12% $3.63 $1.59B
Q2-2025 $4.97B $435M $1.24B 24.87% $3.3 $1.5B
Q1-2025 $4.59B $563M $574M 12.5% $1.51 $762M
Q4-2024 $4.51B $459M $935M 20.73% $2.48 $1.07B

What's going well?

The company sharply improved gross margins by cutting product costs, boosting profitability at the core level. Debt costs remain low, and earnings are clean without one-time distortions.

What's concerning?

Revenue is shrinking, and operating expenses jumped, hurting overall profit. Net income and EPS are both down, and the cost structure looks less efficient than before.

Balance Statement

Period Cash & Short-term Total Assets Total Liabilities Total Equity
Q4-2025 $993M $67.06B $42.85B $24.21B
Q3-2025 $11.17B $79.19B $55.47B $23.72B
Q2-2025 $10.31B $78.79B $55.75B $23.04B
Q1-2025 $1.19B $75.18B $53.63B $21.55B
Q4-2024 $9.31B $70.91B $50.09B $20.82B

What's financially strong about this company?

The company has low debt, strong equity, and a long history of profitability. Most assets are tangible, and there are no hidden liabilities or goodwill risks.

What are the financial risks or weaknesses?

Cash and liquid assets have dropped sharply, leaving a thin buffer for unexpected problems. The sharp drop in both assets and liabilities could signal business contraction or restructuring.

Cash Flow Statement

Period Net Income Cash From Operations Cash From Investing Cash From Financing Net Change Free Cash Flow
Q4-2025 $1.24B $1.4B $-417M $-778M $213M $1.39B
Q3-2025 $1.35B $2.19B $-1.38B $-743M $46M $2.17B
Q2-2025 $1.24B $1.12B $-1.23B $-128M $-177M $1.11B
Q1-2025 $574M $1.46B $-1.01B $-241M $225M $1.45B
Q4-2024 $935M $1.57B $420M $-1.89B $48M $1.56B

What's strong about this company's cash flow?

The business consistently produces more cash than it spends, with $1.39 billion in free cash flow and a growing cash balance. Share buybacks and dividends are well covered by cash flow, and the company has no debt dependency.

What are the cash flow concerns?

Operating and free cash flow both dropped by over a third compared to last quarter, and working capital benefits are shrinking. If this trend continues, future cash generation could be at risk.

Q4 2025 Earnings Call Summary

Read Call Summary

5-Year Trend Analysis

A comprehensive look at Arch Capital Group Ltd.'s financial evolution and strategic trajectory over the past five years.

+ Strengths

Arch combines historically strong profitability with robust cash generation and a conservative balance sheet. Its focus on specialty and mortgage lines, together with disciplined underwriting and advanced analytics, has supported attractive margins and growing earnings over time. The company’s ability to grow assets and equity while reducing leverage, alongside an increasingly sophisticated use of technology and data, underpins its reputation as a financially solid, analytically driven insurer and reinsurer.

! Risks

The recent drop in revenue and operating income breaks a multi-year pattern of steady improvement and raises questions about how sustainable prior growth rates are in the current environment. The lack of clearly disclosed R&D spending, reliance instead on embedded innovation, may make it harder to gauge the scale of long-term investment in competitiveness. Balance sheet reporting quirks around current items and a rapid build-up of goodwill and intangibles reduce transparency and concentrate some risk in acquired businesses. On top of this, structural industry risks—catastrophe exposure, pricing cycles, regulatory complexity, and intensifying competition in analytics and digital capabilities—remain ever-present.

Outlook

The overall picture is of a financially strong, well-managed insurer that has built real advantages in underwriting and analytics, but that is now navigating a more challenging growth phase. Its solid capital position, strong cash flows, and diversified business mix provide room to adapt strategy, invest further in technology, and balance growth with disciplined risk selection. The trajectory from here will likely hinge on how effectively management stabilizes top-line trends, maintains underwriting quality through the cycle, and balances generous capital returns with continued investment in innovation and selective expansion.