AGO - Assured Guaranty Ltd. Stock Analysis | Stock Taper
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Assured Guaranty Ltd.

AGO

Assured Guaranty Ltd. NYSE
$86.21 -0.50% (-0.43)

Market Cap $3.98 B
52w High $92.40
52w Low $74.09
Dividend Yield 1.54%
Frequency Quarterly
P/E 10.56
Volume 361.17K
Outstanding Shares 46.11M

Income Statement

Period Revenue Operating Expense Net Income Net Profit Margin Earnings Per Share EBITDA
Q4-2025 $-14M $-181M $119M -850% $2.43 $187M
Q3-2025 $199M $88M $105M 52.76% $2.13 $157M
Q2-2025 $278M $112M $103M 37.05% $2.1 $156M
Q1-2025 $325M $51M $176M 54.15% $3.49 $251M
Q4-2024 $152M $88M $18M 11.84% $0.36 $53M

Balance Statement

Period Cash & Short-term Total Assets Total Liabilities Total Equity
Q4-2025 $6.76B $12.18B $6.39B $5.46B
Q3-2025 $6.43B $12.1B $6.36B $5.66B
Q2-2025 $2.15B $12.1B $6.37B $5.63B
Q1-2025 $2.29B $11.94B $6.28B $5.59B
Q4-2024 $2.46B $11.9B $6.35B $5.5B

Cash Flow Statement

Period Net Income Cash From Operations Cash From Investing Cash From Financing Net Change Free Cash Flow
Q4-2025 $679M $546M $-444M $-133M $-163M $546M
Q3-2025 $105M $55M $-73M $-140M $-161M $55M
Q2-2025 $0 $78M $217M $-157M $143M $78M
Q1-2025 $176M $87M $134M $-170M $55M $87M
Q4-2024 $0 $46M $236M $-324M $-46M $46M

Revenue by Products

Product Q1-2025Q2-2025Q3-2025Q4-2025
Asset Management Segment
Asset Management Segment
$10.00M $10.00M $10.00M $0
Insurance Segment
Insurance Segment
$240.00M $200.00M $210.00M $230.00M

Revenue by Geography

Region Q1-2020Q2-2020Q3-2020Q4-2020
BERMUDA
BERMUDA
$30.00M $40.00M $30.00M $50.00M
Other Countries
Other Countries
$10.00M $10.00M $10.00M $-20.00M
UNITED STATES
UNITED STATES
$150.00M $240.00M $190.00M $210.00M

Q4 2025 Earnings Call Summary

Read Call Summary

5-Year Trend Analysis

A comprehensive look at Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s financial evolution and strategic trajectory over the past five years.

+ Strengths

The company combines strong reported profitability, a robust capital and equity base, and conservative leverage with a leading position in a specialized, high‑barrier market. Its solid credit ratings, disciplined underwriting culture, and growing suite of products and analytics capabilities give it multiple levers for value creation. Strategic actions such as debt reduction, share repurchases, and diversification into reinsurance and fintech signal an active approach to capital and franchise management.

! Risks

Key concerns include limited visibility into the detailed cost structure and trends due to missing financial line items, as well as cash generation that is modest relative to accounting earnings in the most recent year. The business model is inherently exposed to credit cycles, municipal and structured finance health, and the maintenance of high credit ratings. Heavy capital returns have reduced cash, and new ventures such as annuity reinsurance and expanded climate risk underwriting introduce execution risk and potential new types of exposure.

Outlook

Based on the available information, Assured Guaranty appears financially solid and competitively well‑positioned within its niche, with meaningful opportunities from analytics, reinsurance, and international growth. Future performance will likely hinge on the pace of municipal issuance, credit conditions, interest rate dynamics, and the company’s ability to maintain ratings while managing emerging risks like climate and long‑dated annuity liabilities. Because the current dataset covers only a single year with some reporting anomalies, any forward view should be considered tentative and supplemented with more detailed disclosures over time.