BLBD - Blue Bird Corporation Stock Analysis | Stock Taper
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Blue Bird Corporation

BLBD

Blue Bird Corporation NASDAQ
$56.51 -3.02% (-1.76)

Market Cap $1.84 B
52w High $62.90
52w Low $30.04
P/E 14.27
Volume 315.19K
Outstanding Shares 31.62M

Income Statement

Period Revenue Operating Expense Net Income Net Profit Margin Earnings Per Share EBITDA
Q1-2026 $333.08M $33.55M $30.76M 9.23% $0.97 $43.42M
Q4-2025 $409.37M $36.07M $36.5M 8.92% $1.15 $56.77M
Q3-2025 $398.01M $35.86M $36.45M 9.16% $1.16 $54.93M
Q2-2025 $358.85M $37.14M $26.05M 7.26% $0.82 $39.27M
Q1-2025 $313.87M $27.27M $28.72M 9.15% $0.89 $41.38M

What's going well?

The company is still making solid profits even with lower sales. Margins are steady, and there are no unusual charges distorting results. Debt costs are low and manageable.

What's concerning?

Revenue fell sharply this quarter, and expenses aren't dropping as fast as sales. Profits and earnings per share are down, and efficiency is slipping.

Balance Statement

Period Cash & Short-term Total Assets Total Liabilities Total Equity
Q1-2026 $241.74M $642.34M $370.97M $271.37M
Q4-2025 $229.31M $625.25M $369.84M $255.41M
Q3-2025 $173.07M $575.45M $353.6M $221.85M
Q2-2025 $130.75M $543.7M $353.31M $190.39M
Q1-2025 $136.12M $535.22M $355.52M $179.71M

What's financially strong about this company?

The company has a big cash cushion, very manageable debt, and a healthy balance between assets and liabilities. Equity is rising, and customers are paying faster, which helps cash flow.

What are the financial risks or weaknesses?

There are no major red flags, but the company does have a lot of inventory relative to receivables, which could be a risk if sales slow. Otherwise, the balance sheet is solid.

Cash Flow Statement

Period Net Income Cash From Operations Cash From Investing Cash From Financing Net Change Free Cash Flow
Q1-2026 $30.76M $36.58M $-5.66M $-18.5M $12.43M $31.11M
Q4-2025 $36.5M $65.12M $-4.81M $-4.06M $56.25M $60.46M
Q3-2025 $36.45M $56.92M $-4.95M $-9.65M $42.32M $52.32M
Q2-2025 $26.05M $27.77M $-9.02M $-24.12M $-5.37M $18.75M
Q1-2025 $28.72M $26.41M $-5.09M $-12.88M $8.43M $21.82M

What's strong about this company's cash flow?

BLBD is generating real cash from its business, not just accounting profits. The company has a large and growing cash balance, pays down debt, and is buying back shares, all funded by operations.

What are the cash flow concerns?

Operating and free cash flow both fell by nearly half compared to last quarter, mainly due to a big drop in payables. If this trend continues, it could signal future cash flow pressure.

Revenue by Products

Product Q2-2025Q3-2025Q4-2025Q1-2026
Alternative Fuel Buses
Alternative Fuel Buses
$200.00M $230.00M $220.00M $150.00M
Diesel Buses
Diesel Buses
$120.00M $130.00M $160.00M $140.00M
Parts
Parts
$30.00M $30.00M $20.00M $20.00M
Product and Service Other
Product and Service Other
$20.00M $10.00M $10.00M $10.00M

Revenue by Geography

Region Q2-2025Q3-2025Q4-2025Q1-2026
CANADA
CANADA
$60.00M $50.00M $30.00M $50.00M
Rest of World
Rest of World
$0 $0 $0 $0
UNITED STATES
UNITED STATES
$300.00M $350.00M $370.00M $280.00M

Q1 2026 Earnings Call Summary

Read Call Summary

5-Year Trend Analysis

A comprehensive look at Blue Bird Corporation's financial evolution and strategic trajectory over the past five years.

+ Strengths

Blue Bird now combines a strong financial recovery with a favorable strategic position. Revenues and profits have moved decisively higher, margins have expanded, and cash generation is robust. The balance sheet has shifted from leveraged and fragile to liquid and net‑cash positive. On the strategic side, the company enjoys a long‑standing brand, a focused presence in the school bus market, and clear leadership in alternative-fuel and safety‑enhanced buses.

! Risks

Key risks include rising overhead costs, uneven reported R&D spending, and the operational challenge of scaling electric bus production efficiently. The business is sensitive to government funding, school district budgets, and emissions regulations, which can be cyclical or politically driven. High inventory levels and large share buybacks also raise execution risk if demand softens or cash flows weaken.

Outlook

Overall, the picture points to a company in a solid upswing, with improving fundamentals and a product portfolio well aligned with long‑term trends toward cleaner and safer transportation. The sustainability of this outlook will depend on Blue Bird’s ability to manage costs, keep innovating in electric and alternative-fuel buses, maintain working capital discipline, and navigate policy and competitive shifts in its niche market.