CARR - Carrier Global Corp... Stock Analysis | Stock Taper
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Carrier Global Corporation

CARR

Carrier Global Corporation NYSE
$64.40 2.61% (+1.64)

Market Cap $53.83 B
52w High $81.09
52w Low $50.24
Dividend Yield 1.71%
Frequency Quarterly
P/E 38.11
Volume 4.56M
Outstanding Shares 835.84M

Income Statement

Period Revenue Operating Expense Net Income Net Profit Margin Earnings Per Share EBITDA
Q4-2025 $4.84B $860M $62M 1.28% $0.06 $475M
Q3-2025 $5.58B $910M $428M 7.67% $0.5 $855M
Q2-2025 $6.11B $896M $591M 9.67% $0.71 $1.24B
Q1-2025 $5.22B $818M $412M 7.9% $0.48 $585M
Q4-2024 $5.15B $576M $2.55B 49.55% $2.87 $741M

What's going well?

Interest expense is much lower, which could help future profits if sales recover. The company is still managing to stay profitable, even if just barely.

What's concerning?

Sales and profits fell sharply, margins are under pressure, and costs are not falling fast enough. The business is barely making money, raising concerns about future performance if this trend continues.

Balance Statement

Period Cash & Short-term Total Assets Total Liabilities Total Equity
Q4-2025 $1.55B $37.19B $23.06B $13.8B
Q3-2025 $1.42B $38.08B $23.24B $14.51B
Q2-2025 $1.8B $38.49B $23.48B $14.71B
Q1-2025 $1.7B $36.45B $22.25B $13.86B
Q4-2024 $3.97B $37.4B $23.01B $14.08B

What's financially strong about this company?

The company has positive equity, a long track record of profits, and is efficiently managing working capital. Cash increased, and inventory and receivables both fell, showing good operational discipline.

What are the financial risks or weaknesses?

A large portion of assets are goodwill and intangibles, which could be written down if acquisitions disappoint. Debt is rising, and book value per share is slipping.

Cash Flow Statement

Period Net Income Cash From Operations Cash From Investing Cash From Financing Net Change Free Cash Flow
Q4-2025 $62M $1.01B $-111M $-787M $131M $882M
Q3-2025 $434M $341M $-119M $-591M $-374M $224M
Q2-2025 $650M $649M $-55M $-547M $98M $568M
Q1-2025 $437M $483M $-23M $-2.75B $-2.27B $420M
Q4-2024 $-30M $132M $3.09B $-1.69B $1.73B $-85M

What's strong about this company's cash flow?

Operating cash flow and free cash flow jumped sharply this quarter, showing the business can generate a lot of cash. The company is self-funding, paying down debt, and returning lots of cash to shareholders through buybacks and dividends.

What are the cash flow concerns?

Much of the cash flow boost came from a big, likely one-time, working capital swing. Net income dropped sharply, and more cash is tied up in receivables and inventory.

Revenue by Products

Product Q1-2025Q2-2025Q3-2025Q4-2025
Product
Product
$4.65Bn $5.48Bn $4.91Bn $4.14Bn
Service
Service
$570.00M $640.00M $670.00M $700.00M

Revenue by Geography

Region Q1-2025Q2-2025Q3-2025Q4-2025
Asia Pacific
Asia Pacific
$940.00M $980.00M $960.00M $960.00M
Europe
Europe
$1.40Bn $1.52Bn $1.56Bn $1.61Bn
Other Geographical Region
Other Geographical Region
$140.00M $180.00M $200.00M $160.00M
UNITED STATES
UNITED STATES
$2.74Bn $3.43Bn $2.86Bn $2.11Bn

Q4 2025 Earnings Call Summary

Read Call Summary

5-Year Trend Analysis

A comprehensive look at Carrier Global Corporation's financial evolution and strategic trajectory over the past five years.

+ Strengths

Key strengths include a leading global position in HVAC and refrigeration, strong brand recognition, and a vast installed base supported by a deep distribution and service network. The company has a clear strategic focus on energy efficiency and sustainability, underpinned by consistent R&D and a growing suite of digital platforms. It remains fundamentally cash‑generative, has grown its equity base and retained earnings, and is positioned in markets with long‑term structural tailwinds such as electrification, green buildings, and data center growth.

! Risks

Main risks center on profit and cash flow volatility, margin compression, and a more leveraged and less liquid balance sheet following large acquisitions and shareholder returns. Heavy reliance on goodwill and intangibles increases exposure to integration missteps and potential impairments. Competitive and regulatory pressures in HVAC and climate solutions are intense, requiring continuous innovation and pricing discipline. Cyclicality in construction, industrial demand, and capital spending can further amplify swings in results.

Outlook

The overall outlook appears cautiously constructive. Carrier is well placed to benefit from global pushes for decarbonization, building efficiency, and digital infrastructure, and its innovation pipeline and acquisitions support that direction. However, realizing this potential will depend on stabilizing margins, tightening cost control, improving liquidity, and successfully integrating acquired businesses. If the company can convert its strong market position and technology portfolio into more consistent earnings and cash flow, it could emerge from this investment phase as a stronger, more resilient climate and energy solutions leader.