CFLT - Confluent, Inc. Stock Analysis | Stock Taper
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Confluent, Inc.

CFLT

Confluent, Inc. NASDAQ
$30.67 0.13% (+0.04)

Market Cap $10.97 B
52w High $32.63
52w Low $15.64
P/E -35.66
Volume 8.13M
Outstanding Shares 357.64M

Income Statement

Period Revenue Operating Expense Net Income Net Profit Margin Earnings Per Share EBITDA
Q4-2025 $314.82M $314.67M $-79.25M -25.17% $-0.23 $-71.77M
Q3-2025 $298.52M $304.88M $-66.5M -22.28% $-0.19 $-57.13M
Q2-2025 $282.29M $304.55M $-81.95M -29.03% $-0.24 $-89.09M
Q1-2025 $271.12M $303.18M $-67.57M -24.92% $-0.2 $-94.57M
Q4-2024 $261.22M $299.44M $-88.05M -33.71% $-0.27 $-99.55M

What's going well?

Revenue keeps climbing steadily, and gross margins remain high at 75%, showing the core product is valuable. Operating expenses are growing slower than revenue, hinting at improving efficiency.

What's concerning?

The company is still losing money, and net losses actually got worse this quarter. High R&D and sales spending are weighing on profits, and share dilution is slowly increasing.

Balance Statement

Period Cash & Short-term Total Assets Total Liabilities Total Equity
Q4-2025 $2.05B $2.99B $1.82B $1.17B
Q3-2025 $1.99B $2.88B $1.76B $1.12B
Q2-2025 $1.94B $2.82B $1.75B $1.06B
Q1-2025 $1.92B $2.7B $1.67B $1.03B
Q4-2024 $1.91B $2.69B $1.73B $961.23M

What's financially strong about this company?

CFLT holds over $2 billion in cash and investments, far more than its debt. Its assets are mostly high-quality and liquid, and it can easily cover all its bills. Book value and cash position are both improving.

What are the financial risks or weaknesses?

Retained earnings are deeply negative, showing a history of losses. Payables jumped this quarter, which could mean the company is taking longer to pay suppliers. The company relies on customers prepaying for services.

Cash Flow Statement

Period Net Income Cash From Operations Cash From Investing Cash From Financing Net Change Free Cash Flow
Q4-2025 $-79.25M $42.11M $-17.76M $24.55M $48.67M $41.67M
Q3-2025 $-66.5M $30.8M $-46.75M $19.77M $2.95M $24.59M
Q2-2025 $-81.95M $18.11M $-8.49M $6.06M $17.03M $17.2M
Q1-2025 $-67.57M $-26.75M $-112M $30.8M $-107.42M $-32.99M
Q4-2024 $-88.05M $35.21M $10.25M $19.5M $63.37M $29.12M

What's strong about this company's cash flow?

The company is generating more cash from its operations each quarter, with free cash flow up to $41.7 million. Cash on hand is growing, and the business doesn't rely on debt.

What are the cash flow concerns?

The company is losing money on paper, mainly due to large stock-based compensation, which dilutes shareholders. Rising receivables could signal slower customer payments.

Revenue by Products

Product Q1-2025Q2-2025Q3-2025Q4-2025
Confluent Cloud
Confluent Cloud
$140.00M $150.00M $160.00M $170.00M
License
License
$30.00M $30.00M $30.00M $40.00M
Post Contract Customer Support
Post Contract Customer Support
$90.00M $90.00M $90.00M $90.00M
Service
Service
$10.00M $10.00M $10.00M $10.00M

Revenue by Geography

Region Q1-2025Q2-2025Q3-2025Q4-2025
NonUS
NonUS
$110.00M $120.00M $130.00M $140.00M
UNITED STATES
UNITED STATES
$160.00M $160.00M $170.00M $170.00M

Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary

Read Call Summary

5-Year Trend Analysis

A comprehensive look at Confluent, Inc.'s financial evolution and strategic trajectory over the past five years.

+ Strengths

Confluent combines rapid revenue growth, strong and improving gross margins, and a balance sheet with ample liquidity and manageable leverage. It holds a leading niche in real‑time data streaming, backed by deep technical expertise and a broad, enterprise‑grade platform. Cash flow trends are now supportive rather than draining, and sustained R&D investment keeps the product set evolving in line with AI and modern data‑infrastructure needs.

! Risks

The company still posts sizable accounting losses and carries heavily negative retained earnings from years of investment, so the path to consistent profitability is not yet complete. Dependence on stock‑based compensation and the absence of direct cash returns to shareholders may be a concern for some stakeholders. Competitive pressure from cloud hyperscalers, alternative streaming technologies, and do‑it‑yourself Kafka deployments could compress growth or margins over time if Confluent’s differentiation narrows. The rising but still moderate reliance on debt, combined with ongoing losses, also adds some financial risk if growth slows unexpectedly.

Outlook

Overall, Confluent appears to be transitioning from an early, cash‑burning hyper‑growth phase toward a more balanced model that still grows quickly but increasingly funds itself and edges toward profitability. Its strategic position at the heart of real‑time data and AI architectures offers significant opportunity if it can maintain technical leadership and demonstrate durable operating leverage. The key variables to watch will be the pace of revenue growth versus spending, the sustainability of positive free cash flow, and how effectively the company defends and expands its role in a competitive, fast‑changing data infrastructure landscape.