CGAU - Centerra Gold Inc. Stock Analysis | Stock Taper
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Centerra Gold Inc.

CGAU

Centerra Gold Inc. NYSE
$21.03 4.78% (+0.96)

Market Cap $4.21 B
52w High $21.11
52w Low $5.41
Dividend Yield 1.64%
Frequency Quarterly
P/E 7.40
Volume 1.57M
Outstanding Shares 200.18M

Income Statement

Period Revenue Operating Expense Net Income Net Profit Margin Earnings Per Share EBITDA
Q4-2025 $376.41M $33.06M $195.74M 52% $0.97 $289.32M
Q3-2025 $395.16M $-191.66M $292.19M 73.94% $1.42 $390.85M
Q2-2025 $288.34M $30.95M $68.57M 23.78% $0.33 $97.38M
Q1-2025 $299.5M $33.64M $30.45M 10.17% $0.15 $84.02M
Q4-2024 $302.39M $216.47M $-52.5M -17.36% $-0.26 $108.05M

Balance Statement

Period Cash & Short-term Total Assets Total Liabilities Total Equity
Q4-2025 $539.91M $2.94B $884.28M $2.06B
Q3-2025 $568.23M $2.69B $750.52M $1.94B
Q2-2025 $522.34M $2.32B $613.59M $1.7B
Q1-2025 $611.9M $2.31B $649.04M $1.66B
Q4-2024 $627.8M $2.27B $609.22M $1.66B

What's financially strong about this company?

The company has more cash than debt, a large base of real assets, and strong positive equity. Its liquidity is excellent, and it has a long history of profits with no goodwill or intangible asset risks.

What are the financial risks or weaknesses?

Inventory is rising faster than receivables, which could signal some buildup. Payables are also increasing, and cash dipped slightly, so it's worth watching if these trends continue.

Cash Flow Statement

Period Net Income Cash From Operations Cash From Investing Cash From Financing Net Change Free Cash Flow
Q4-2025 $195.74M $103.69M $-96.46M $-40.63M $-33.28M $11.03M
Q3-2025 $292.19M $161.65M $-87.82M $-34.38M $39.46M $98.64M
Q2-2025 $68.57M $25.3M $-72.61M $-38.52M $-85.83M $-25.58M
Q1-2025 $30.45M $58.61M $-48.57M $-26.54M $-16.5M $10.04M
Q4-2024 $-52.5M $92.77M $-47.49M $-24.95M $20.33M $47.01M

What's strong about this company's cash flow?

The company is still generating positive cash from its core operations and maintains a solid cash balance of $528 million. No new debt was taken on, and the business is not reliant on outside funding.

What are the cash flow concerns?

Operating and free cash flow both dropped sharply this quarter, and the company returned much more cash to shareholders than it generated. If this trend continues, the cash cushion could shrink quickly.

Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary

Read Call Summary

5-Year Trend Analysis

A comprehensive look at Centerra Gold Inc.'s financial evolution and strategic trajectory over the past five years.

+ Strengths

Key strengths include strong recent profitability, solid operating cash generation, and a very conservative balance sheet with net cash and ample liquidity. The asset base provides meaningful scale and diversification across gold, copper, and molybdenum, with a focus on generally mining‑friendly jurisdictions. Operating costs appear competitive, supported by disciplined overhead spending and ongoing technical improvements at major mines. The company also demonstrates a clear commitment to ESG and responsible mining principles, which can support long‑term social license and investor appeal. A visible pipeline of organic growth projects offers potential for sustained production beyond the current mine lives.

! Risks

Major risks stem from the inherent cyclicality and uncertainty of the mining business. Earnings and cash flow are highly exposed to gold and copper prices, which can swing due to macroeconomic and geopolitical factors. The operations are capital intensive, requiring continual investment just to sustain production, and heavy capex, dividends, and buybacks have already started to reduce the cash balance despite positive free cash flow. Asset concentration means that issues at a few key mines could significantly impact results. There is also execution risk around bringing new projects to fruition on time and within budget, as well as regulatory, environmental, and community‑related risks in all operating regions. Finally, with only one period of detailed financials here, it is difficult to fully gauge performance stability across cycles.

Outlook

Looking ahead, Centerra appears well positioned to fund its current project pipeline and navigate commodity cycles thanks to its strong balance sheet and solid underlying cash generation. If it can maintain cost discipline, successfully extend existing mine lives, and bring new projects such as Goldfield, Kemess, and the molybdenum restart into production, the company could sustain or grow its production base while staying within its financial means. The outlook remains heavily dependent on metal prices, regulatory conditions, and project execution, so actual results could diverge meaningfully from the recent strong year. Overall, the financial and strategic profile suggests resilience and optionality, paired with the usual set of mining‑sector risks that warrant ongoing monitoring.