CMG - Chipotle Mexican Gri... Stock Analysis | Stock Taper
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Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.

CMG

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. NYSE
$37.22 -2.19% (-0.84)

Market Cap $49.21 B
52w High $58.42
52w Low $29.75
P/E 32.64
Volume 14.80M
Outstanding Shares 1.32B

Income Statement

Period Revenue Operating Expense Net Income Net Profit Margin Earnings Per Share EBITDA
Q4-2025 $2.98B $164.73M $330.93M 11.09% $0.25 $526.35M
Q3-2025 $3B $258.41M $382.1M 12.72% $0.29 $587.49M
Q2-2025 $3.06B $279.17M $436.13M 14.24% $0.32 $668.36M
Q1-2025 $2.88B $274.37M $386.6M 13.45% $0.29 $580.84M
Q4-2024 $2.85B $288.53M $331.76M 11.66% $0.24 $513.04M

What's going well?

The company is still making solid profits and has no debt burden. Operating expenses are well controlled, and overhead is moderate.

What's concerning?

Gross profit and margins are falling as product costs rise and sales dip. Net income and earnings per share are both down compared to last quarter.

Balance Statement

Period Cash & Short-term Total Assets Total Liabilities Total Equity
Q4-2025 $1.05B $8.99B $6.16B $2.83B
Q3-2025 $1.42B $9.28B $6.06B $3.22B
Q2-2025 $1.55B $9.27B $5.74B $3.53B
Q1-2025 $1.41B $9.04B $5.55B $3.49B
Q4-2024 $1.42B $9.2B $5.55B $3.66B

What's financially strong about this company?

Most assets are real, tangible things like restaurants and equipment. The company has positive equity and customers are still prepaying for services.

What are the financial risks or weaknesses?

Debt nearly doubled and cash reserves dropped by over a quarter. Working capital is getting tighter and equity shrank, signaling increased financial risk.

Cash Flow Statement

Period Net Income Cash From Operations Cash From Investing Cash From Financing Net Change Free Cash Flow
Q4-2025 $330.93M $425.84M $-27.75M $-741.6M $-348.2M $228.39M
Q3-2025 $382.1M $569.68M $-15.4M $-700.47M $-145.59M $406.19M
Q2-2025 $436.13M $561.33M $1.99M $-443.66M $119.11M $400.74M
Q1-2025 $386.6M $557.08M $6.08M $-585.17M $-22.26M $412.26M
Q4-2024 $331.76M $526.77M $-136.03M $-338.74M $51.86M $353.88M

What's strong about this company's cash flow?

CMG still produces solid cash from its core business, with high-quality earnings that turn into real cash. The company is self-funded, has no debt, and is actively returning cash to shareholders through buybacks.

What are the cash flow concerns?

Operating and free cash flow both fell significantly this quarter, while buybacks outpaced cash generation, causing a big drop in the cash balance. If this trend continues, the company could face tighter liquidity.

Revenue by Products

Product Q1-2025Q2-2025Q3-2025Q4-2025
Delivery Service
Delivery Service
$20.00M $20.00M $10.00M $10.00M
Food and Beverage
Food and Beverage
$2.86Bn $3.05Bn $2.99Bn $2.97Bn

Revenue by Geography

Region Q1-2025Q2-2025Q3-2025Q4-2025
U S Segment
U S Segment
$2.82Bn $3.00Bn $2.94Bn $2.92Bn

Q4 2025 Earnings Call Summary

Read Call Summary

5-Year Trend Analysis

A comprehensive look at Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.'s financial evolution and strategic trajectory over the past five years.

+ Strengths

Chipotle combines strong brand equity with a proven, scalable restaurant model that has delivered solid revenue and earnings growth over several years. Its units generate healthy cash flows, which have supported both expansion and significant returns of capital. Operational discipline, digital leadership in areas like mobile ordering and drive-through pickup, and a visible pipeline of process and menu innovation reinforce its position in the fast-casual space. The asset base is largely tangible and productive, and historical profitability has been robust.

! Risks

Key risks include recent pressure on margins, particularly at the gross level, as food and labor costs rise faster than the company can offset through pricing or efficiency. The sharp increase in debt and reduction in liquidity in the latest year represent a notable change in the financial risk profile, especially alongside heavy share repurchases. Competitive intensity, potential macroeconomic weakness that could dampen traffic, and ongoing food-safety and brand-reputation sensitivities all add uncertainty. International expansion and large-scale technology rollouts also introduce execution risk.

Outlook

Overall, Chipotle appears positioned for continued growth, backed by strong unit economics, a loyal customer base, and a clear strategy centered on efficiency, digital engagement, and measured menu innovation. The company has substantial opportunities in further U.S. buildout, catering and group dining, and international markets, as well as in monetizing its technology and operational advances. At the same time, the balance between growth, shareholder returns, and financial conservatism has become more delicate; future performance will likely hinge on how effectively management navigates rising costs, higher leverage, and a competitive, economically sensitive consumer landscape.