CNI - Canadian National Ra... Stock Analysis | Stock Taper
Logo
Canadian National Railway Company

CNI

Canadian National Railway Company NYSE
$112.19 1.76% (+1.94)

Market Cap $68.68 B
52w High $112.48
52w Low $90.74
Dividend Yield 2.60%
Frequency Quarterly
P/E 20.29
Volume 999.00K
Outstanding Shares 612.19M

Income Statement

Period Revenue Operating Expense Net Income Net Profit Margin Earnings Per Share EBITDA
Q4-2025 $4.46B $333.73M $1.25B 27.96% $2.03 $2.19B
Q3-2025 $4.17B $264.37M $1.14B 27.31% $1.83 $2.11B
Q2-2025 $4.27B $189M $1.17B 27.43% $1.87 $2.27B
Q1-2025 $4.4B $167M $1.16B 26.37% $1.85 $2.25B
Q4-2024 $4.36B $181M $1.15B 26.3% $1.82 $2.23B

What's going well?

Revenue and profits both grew nicely this quarter, with margins improving slightly. The company continues to generate strong cash flow and earnings per share are up.

What's concerning?

Operating expenses and interest costs are rising faster than revenue. If this continues, it could start to eat into future profits.

Balance Statement

Period Cash & Short-term Total Assets Total Liabilities Total Equity
Q4-2025 $362.7M $58.51B $36.96B $21.55B
Q3-2025 $226.32M $57.65B $36.38B $21.27B
Q2-2025 $216M $56.78B $35.24B $21.54B
Q1-2025 $232M $57.4B $35.78B $21.62B
Q4-2024 $389M $57.07B $36.02B $21.05B

What's financially strong about this company?

CNI owns a huge amount of physical assets, has strong long-term profitability, and maintains a balanced mix of debt and equity. Most debt is long-term, and goodwill is low, so asset quality is high.

What are the financial risks or weaknesses?

Liquidity is tight, with less than $1 in current assets for every $1 due soon, so a sudden cash need could be challenging. Cash is a small portion of assets, and the company relies on steady operations to meet short-term bills.

Cash Flow Statement

Period Net Income Cash From Operations Cash From Investing Cash From Financing Net Change Free Cash Flow
Q4-2025 $1.25B $2.23B $-1.23B $-856.3M $140.05M $997.19M
Q3-2025 $1.14B $1.91B $-1.12B $-1.21B $-414M $808M
Q2-2025 $1.17B $1.75B $-823M $-522M $396M $940M
Q1-2025 $1.16B $1.16B $-538M $-783M $-157M $645M
Q4-2024 $1.15B $2B $-963M $-1.33B $-297M $1.05B

What's strong about this company's cash flow?

CNI is producing more cash from operations each quarter, with free cash flow rising and easily covering dividends and buybacks. The business funds itself and even increased its cash balance this quarter.

What are the cash flow concerns?

The cash balance is modest, so the company relies on steady cash generation to meet obligations. Some of this quarter's cash boost came from working capital timing, which may not repeat.

Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary

Read Call Summary

5-Year Trend Analysis

A comprehensive look at Canadian National Railway Company's financial evolution and strategic trajectory over the past five years.

+ Strengths

CNI benefits from a rare combination of durable competitive position, strong operating margins, and robust cash generation. Revenue has grown steadily, and the core railroad operations remain highly efficient, with stable and attractive margins. The company’s extensive network across Canada and into the United States is extremely difficult to replicate, giving it structural advantages in cost and reach. It has a long track record of investing in its infrastructure while also returning significant cash to shareholders through dividends and, historically, share repurchases.

! Risks

Key risks include rising leverage, weaker short-term liquidity, and volatility in net income driven in part by higher interest costs and non-operating factors. Increased dependence on debt to fund growth, acquisitions, and shareholder returns leaves less room for unexpected shocks. Operationally and strategically, CNI remains exposed to economic cycles, regulatory changes, labor relations, environmental policies, and potential service disruptions from weather or infrastructure issues. The recent large acquisition, indicated by the jump in goodwill, also introduces integration and execution risk.

Outlook

Looking ahead, CNI appears positioned as a mature but still growing infrastructure business. If its elevated capital spending and acquisition activity translate into better service, higher volumes, and improved efficiency, the company can likely sustain solid cash flows and maintain its strong operating profile. At the same time, the trend toward higher leverage and tighter liquidity reduces financial flexibility, making consistent execution and disciplined capital allocation more important. Overall, the picture is of a high-quality railroad with durable structural strengths, moderate growth prospects, and a capital structure that has become somewhat more aggressive over time.