EBR - AXIA Energia S.A. Stock Analysis | Stock Taper
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AXIA Energia S.A.

EBR

AXIA Energia S.A. NYSE
$9.20 -2.65% (-0.25)

Market Cap $20.68 B
52w High $12.58
52w Low $5.45
Dividend Yield 7.30%
Frequency Quarterly
P/E 17.04
Volume 3.76K
Outstanding Shares 2.25B

Income Statement

Period Revenue Operating Expense Net Income Net Profit Margin Earnings Per Share EBITDA
Q3-2025 $9.79B $7.66B $-5.34B -54.48% $-2.42 $-3.08B
Q2-2025 $9.86B $1.11B $-1.28B -12.99% $-0.59 $1.09B
Q1-2025 $10.25B $925.51M $-347.62M -3.39% $-0.15 $2.8B
Q4-2024 $12.74B $1.13B $1.17B 9.21% $0.44 $4.36B
Q3-2024 $10.82B $895.48M $7.06B 65.22% $3.16 $10.9B

What's going well?

Revenue is stable and the company is still generating billions in sales. Share count is steady, so no dilution for shareholders.

What's concerning?

Profitability collapsed, with a $5.34 billion loss and much higher costs. Margins are shrinking, and interest expense is a heavy drag on results.

Balance Statement

Period Cash & Short-term Total Assets Total Liabilities Total Equity
Q3-2025 $24.65B $266.5B $157.16B $109.29B
Q2-2025 $29.39B $274.96B $156.21B $118.71B
Q1-2025 $30.28B $282.02B $160.44B $121.49B
Q4-2024 $29.83B $289.87B $167.87B $121.86B
Q3-2024 $28.38B $279.8B $158.41B $121.25B

What's financially strong about this company?

The company has nearly $25 billion in cash and short-term investments and can easily cover its bills. Debt is moderate compared to equity, and working capital is efficient with no signs of inventory or payable stress.

What are the financial risks or weaknesses?

Cash reserves dropped by 16% and equity fell by $9 billion, which could be a concern if the trend continues. The large swing in retained earnings and receivables suggests some one-off event or accounting change that needs explanation.

Cash Flow Statement

Period Net Income Cash From Operations Cash From Investing Cash From Financing Net Change Free Cash Flow
Q3-2025 $-5.45B $4.21B $-3.62B $-4.62B $-4.03B $3.66B
Q2-2025 $-2.43B $3.94B $1.07B $-5.14B $13.39B $3.37B
Q1-2025 $-288.68M $3.14B $494.56M $-7.54B $-3.91B $2.88B
Q4-2024 $1.11B $5.47B $-5.34B $4.77B $4.89B $4.24B
Q3-2024 $8.38B $3.58B $2.12B $-1.97B $3.73B $3.16B

What's strong about this company's cash flow?

The company produces billions in real cash each quarter, easily covering investments and generous shareholder payouts. Cash flow from operations is rising, and the business is not dependent on outside funding.

What are the cash flow concerns?

Net losses are large and growing, and working capital changes hurt cash flow this quarter. The big drop in cash balance and much higher dividends could be a warning if not managed carefully.

Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary

Read Call Summary

5-Year Trend Analysis

A comprehensive look at AXIA Energia S.A.'s financial evolution and strategic trajectory over the past five years.

+ Strengths

The company combines a powerful physical footprint in generation and transmission with a largely renewable portfolio, improving earnings, and significantly better liquidity. Margins and cash generation have recovered strongly, equity has grown, and digital initiatives support more efficient operations. Its flexible market exposure and scale provide meaningful upside when conditions are favorable.

! Risks

Rising leverage, heavy reliance on intangible assets, and historically volatile cash flows introduce financial risk. Large, irregular capex programs and reliance on debt markets can strain the balance sheet in tougher environments. Regulatory shifts, climate variability affecting hydro resources, and uncertainties around new technologies such as hydrogen and storage add further layers of risk.

Outlook

Based on recent trends, AXIA appears to be in a stronger position than a few years ago, with healthier profitability and liquidity and a clearer strategy focused on renewables, digitalization, and future energy solutions. The medium‑term outlook is constructive but hinges on maintaining cost discipline, managing debt prudently, and successfully executing large projects in a still‑evolving Brazilian regulatory and market landscape.