GCMG - GCM Grosvenor Inc. Stock Analysis | Stock Taper
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GCM Grosvenor Inc.

GCMG

GCM Grosvenor Inc. NASDAQ
$11.58 -2.69% (-0.32)

Market Cap $2.16 B
52w High $14.18
52w Low $9.86
Dividend Yield 4.16%
Frequency Quarterly
P/E 36.19
Volume 796.11K
Outstanding Shares 186.88M

Income Statement

Period Revenue Operating Expense Net Income Net Profit Margin Earnings Per Share EBITDA
Q4-2025 $177.09M $112.03M $18.98M 10.72% $0.33 $70.8M
Q3-2025 $133.01M $87.77M $10.49M 7.89% $0.2 $55.43M
Q2-2025 $123.96M $104.72M $15.44M 12.45% $0.3 $46.75M
Q1-2025 $125.15M $109.82M $463K 0.37% $0.01 $9.17M
Q4-2024 $170.11M $44.63M $7.62M 4.48% $0.17 $43.62M

What's going well?

Revenue soared 33% and profits nearly doubled, showing strong demand and good cost control. Margins remain extremely high, and the company is getting more efficient with lower overhead.

What's concerning?

Revenue and profit swings suggest results can be volatile. Lack of spending on R&D or marketing could limit long-term growth or signal underinvestment.

Balance Statement

Period Cash & Short-term Total Assets Total Liabilities Total Equity
Q4-2025 $242.12M $813.76M $686.33M $26.99M
Q3-2025 $182.75M $685.93M $682.11M $-7.39M
Q2-2025 $136.33M $636.86M $657.5M $-12.29M
Q1-2025 $94.5M $579.82M $669.49M $-28.32M
Q4-2024 $89.45M $612.73M $703.07M $-27.62M

What's financially strong about this company?

The company has a strong cash position and can easily cover its short-term bills. Most assets are real and liquid, and the company improved its equity position this quarter.

What are the financial risks or weaknesses?

Debt is very high compared to equity, and negative retained earnings show a history of losses. Receivables are rising fast, and accrued expenses jumped, which could mean cash is getting tied up and bills are piling up.

Cash Flow Statement

Period Net Income Cash From Operations Cash From Investing Cash From Financing Net Change Free Cash Flow
Q4-2025 $18.98M $28.48M $-51.69M $83.07M $59.37M $23.92M
Q3-2025 $45.08M $79.82M $-6.84M $-26.23M $46.41M $78.27M
Q2-2025 $39.89M $41.98M $-6.49M $5.65M $41.84M $40.76M
Q1-2025 $-1.09M $33.26M $-1.14M $-27.7M $5.04M $32.09M
Q4-2024 $30.42M $38.1M $-6.73M $-38.85M $-8.99M $36.98M

What's strong about this company's cash flow?

There is little to highlight this quarter—previous quarters showed positive cash flow, but that has disappeared. If the business can quickly recover its cash generation, it may stabilize.

What are the cash flow concerns?

The company generated no cash from its business this quarter and used up all its cash reserves. Profits are not turning into real cash, and unless things turn around fast, GCMG will need to raise money to survive.

Revenue by Products

Product Q4-2024Q2-2025Q3-2025Q4-2025
Asset Management
Asset Management
$210.00M $100.00M $110.00M $220.00M
Expense Reimbursement
Expense Reimbursement
$10.00M $0 $0 $10.00M
Management Fees Before Reimbursement Revenue
Management Fees Before Reimbursement Revenue
$200.00M $100.00M $100.00M $210.00M
Management Service Incentive
Management Service Incentive
$70.00M $20.00M $30.00M $80.00M
Management Service Incentive Carried Interest
Management Service Incentive Carried Interest
$30.00M $10.00M $20.00M $20.00M
Management Service Incentive Performance Fees
Management Service Incentive Performance Fees
$50.00M $0 $0 $70.00M

Q4 2025 Earnings Call Summary

Read Call Summary

5-Year Trend Analysis

A comprehensive look at GCM Grosvenor Inc.'s financial evolution and strategic trajectory over the past five years.

+ Strengths

Key strengths include a resilient and recently improving earnings and cash flow profile, a growing asset base, and a return to positive equity after years of deficits. The firm’s franchise in alternatives is supported by long‑tenured, sticky client relationships, a flexible and scalable platform, and differentiated capabilities in customized, impact, and emerging‑manager strategies. Strong free cash flow and rising cash balances provide financial flexibility, while ongoing technology and product initiatives position the business to operate more efficiently and tap new growth channels.

! Risks

Major risks center on volatility and complexity. Earnings, margins, and cash flows have swung widely, reflecting exposure to market cycles, performance fees, and cost variability. The balance sheet still carries meaningful leverage and a history of negative retained earnings, and some reported metrics (especially on SG&A and current assets) look anomalous, indicating either data issues or unusual accounting that requires deeper review. Competitively, the firm faces fee pressure, intense rivalry in alternatives, and execution risk as it expands further into private markets and the individual investor channel.

Outlook

The overall trajectory appears cautiously positive: profitability and cash generation have recovered strongly from the 2023 setback, liquidity in terms of cash has improved, and the strategic focus on higher‑growth alternative segments and new distribution channels aligns with secular industry trends. However, the business remains cyclical and somewhat unpredictable, and its leverage and data inconsistencies mean that sustained, disciplined execution will be critical for converting recent momentum into durable, less volatile performance over time.