GCMGW - GCM Grosvenor Inc. Stock Analysis | Stock Taper
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GCM Grosvenor Inc.

GCMGW

GCM Grosvenor Inc. NASDAQ
$0.01 100.00% (+0.01)

Market Cap $499027
52w High $0.17
52w Low $0.01
P/E 0
Volume 200
Outstanding Shares 52.53M

Income Statement

Period Revenue Operating Expense Net Income Net Profit Margin Earnings Per Share EBITDA
Q4-2025 $177.09M $112.03M $18.98M 10.72% $0.33 $70.8M
Q3-2025 $133.01M $87.77M $10.49M 7.89% $0.2 $55.43M
Q2-2025 $123.96M $104.72M $15.44M 12.45% $0.3 $46.75M
Q1-2025 $125.15M $109.82M $463K 0.37% $0.01 $9.17M
Q4-2024 $170.11M $44.63M $7.62M 4.48% $0.17 $43.62M

What's going well?

Revenue and profits both jumped sharply, with net income up 81%. The company kept costs low, especially overhead, and maintained sky-high gross margins. Operating efficiency improved as expenses grew slower than sales.

What's concerning?

Share dilution is creeping up, which can hurt existing shareholders. The business is highly dependent on keeping costs low, and any slip could hit profits hard. No spending on R&D or marketing is reported, which could impact future growth.

Balance Statement

Period Cash & Short-term Total Assets Total Liabilities Total Equity
Q4-2025 $242.12M $813.76M $686.33M $26.99M
Q3-2025 $182.75M $685.93M $682.11M $-7.39M
Q2-2025 $136.33M $636.86M $657.5M $-12.29M
Q1-2025 $94.5M $579.82M $669.49M $-28.32M
Q4-2024 $89.45M $612.73M $703.07M $-27.62M

What's financially strong about this company?

The company has a strong cash position, enough to cover all near-term bills and then some. Liquidity is excellent, and asset quality is solid with little tied up in risky intangibles.

What are the financial risks or weaknesses?

Debt is very high compared to equity, and the company has a history of losses. Most funding comes from borrowing, and a big jump in receivables could signal trouble collecting cash.

Cash Flow Statement

Period Net Income Cash From Operations Cash From Investing Cash From Financing Net Change Free Cash Flow
Q4-2025 $18.98M $28.48M $-51.69M $83.07M $59.37M $23.92M
Q3-2025 $45.08M $79.82M $-6.84M $-26.23M $46.41M $78.27M
Q2-2025 $39.89M $41.98M $-6.49M $5.65M $41.84M $40.76M
Q1-2025 $-1.09M $33.26M $-1.14M $-27.7M $5.04M $32.09M
Q4-2024 $30.42M $38.1M $-6.73M $-38.85M $-8.99M $36.98M

What's strong about this company's cash flow?

Last quarter showed the company could generate positive cash flow and profits. If the business can return to those levels, it may recover.

What are the cash flow concerns?

This quarter, the company burned $182.7M and ended with no cash. No operating cash flow, no free cash flow, and no new funding—survival now depends on raising more money.

Revenue by Products

Product Q4-2024Q1-2025Q2-2025Q4-2025
Asset Management
Asset Management
$210.00M $110.00M $100.00M $210.00M
Expense Reimbursement
Expense Reimbursement
$10.00M $0 $0 $10.00M
Management Fees Before Reimbursement Revenue
Management Fees Before Reimbursement Revenue
$200.00M $100.00M $100.00M $210.00M
Management Service Incentive
Management Service Incentive
$70.00M $20.00M $20.00M $90.00M
Management Service Incentive Carried Interest
Management Service Incentive Carried Interest
$30.00M $10.00M $10.00M $30.00M
Management Service Incentive Performance Fees
Management Service Incentive Performance Fees
$50.00M $0 $0 $60.00M

Q4 2025 Earnings Call Summary

Read Call Summary

5-Year Trend Analysis

A comprehensive look at GCM Grosvenor Inc.'s financial evolution and strategic trajectory over the past five years.

+ Strengths

Key positives include a clear recovery in revenue and profitability after a difficult year, consistently positive and generally growing cash flows, and an improving balance sheet marked by higher cash and positive shareholder equity. Strategically, the firm benefits from a long history in alternatives, strong institutional relationships, and a differentiated focus on customized solutions, emerging and diverse managers, infrastructure, and ESG‑oriented strategies. Its active investment in data, technology, and AI‑driven workflows positions it to improve efficiency and scale its operations over time.

! Risks

Major concerns center on volatility and data quality. Earnings, margins, and working capital have shown sharp swings, and unusual reporting in the latest period—such as the disappearance of key expense lines and current assets—makes it harder to judge the true underlying performance and liquidity. The firm still carries meaningful leverage and a history of negative retained earnings, reflecting past losses or heavy capital returns. Industry‑wide, it faces intense competition, fee and performance pressure, and execution and regulatory risks as it expands into new strategies and retail channels.

Outlook

The overall picture is of a company with solid strategic positioning and a strong cash‑generating engine, but with a somewhat noisy and complex financial profile. The recent rebound in profitability, strengthening cash balances, and shift to positive equity all suggest improved resilience and capacity to pursue growth opportunities in private credit, infrastructure, and retail alternatives. However, the sustainability of the most recent year’s strong margins and the true state of short‑term liquidity are uncertain due to reporting anomalies. Future results are likely to depend heavily on market conditions, investment performance, and management’s ability to execute on its innovation and expansion plans while maintaining financial discipline.