JCAP - Jefferson Capital,... Stock Analysis | Stock Taper
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Jefferson Capital, Inc. Common Stock

JCAP

Jefferson Capital, Inc. Common Stock NASDAQ
$20.63 -1.29% (-0.27)

Market Cap $1.20 B
52w High $23.80
52w Low $15.98
Dividend Yield 2.27%
Frequency Quarterly
P/E 8.67
Volume 519.01K
Outstanding Shares 58.29M

Income Statement

Period Revenue Operating Expense Net Income Net Profit Margin Earnings Per Share EBITDA
Q3-2025 $150.84M $30.5M $38.36M 25.43% $0.66 $46.45M
Q2-2025 $152.71M $207.27M $47.65M 31.2% $0.82 $62.11M
Q1-2025 $154.9M $26.9M $50.7M 32.73% $0.87 $67.33M
Q2-2024 $103.8M $128.45M $32.17M 30.99% $0.55 $37.52M
Q1-2024 $99.96M $19.69M $32.9M 32.91% $0.56 $36.24M

What's going well?

The company swung back to an operating profit after a big loss last quarter, showing better control of its core business. Operating margins are strong at 46%, and the business is still generating solid net income.

What's concerning?

Gross margins are getting squeezed as product costs rise, and net income fell despite the operating turnaround. The huge jump in share count means each share is now worth less of the profit, hurting shareholders.

Balance Statement

Period Cash & Short-term Total Assets Total Liabilities Total Equity
Q3-2025 $42.27M $1.8B $1.37B $437.37M
Q2-2025 $51.65M $1.77B $1.36B $410.81M
Q1-2025 $27M $1.71B $1.34B $373.5M
Q2-2020 $15.46M $872.17M $292.67M $542.54M
Q1-2020 $7.34M $841.41M $257.31M $551.19M

What's financially strong about this company?

JCAP has a very high current ratio, meaning it can easily pay its short-term bills. Most of its assets are in receivables and cash, which are easy to turn into money. Equity is growing, and the company has a track record of profits.

What are the financial risks or weaknesses?

Debt is high compared to equity, making the company more vulnerable if business slows down. Cash is declining, and most assets are tied up waiting for customers to pay, which could be risky if collections slow.

Cash Flow Statement

Period Net Income Cash From Operations Cash From Investing Cash From Financing Net Change Free Cash Flow
Q3-2025 $38.36M $63.08M $-54.55M $-15.93M $-9.43M $62.97M
Q4-2025 $-150.24M $-193.35M $121.49M $59.04M $-46.07M $-192.7M
Q1-2025 $64.23M $51.68M $-56.23M $-463K $-7.84M $51.54M
Q2-2024 $32.16M $47.75M $-98.53M $48.51M $-479K $47.58M
Q1-2024 $32.9M $35.4M $-65.47M $25.18M $-6.58M $35.24M

What's strong about this company's cash flow?

The company swung from burning cash to generating $63 million in free cash flow, with profits backed by real cash. Debt is being paid down, and dividends are easily covered by cash flow.

What are the cash flow concerns?

Cash flow and profits were very volatile, and the cash balance is only adequate, not large. Some of the cash boost came from stretching payables, which may not repeat.

Revenue by Products

Product Q2-2020Q3-2020Q2-2025Q3-2025
United Kingdom Segment
United Kingdom Segment
$0 $0 $10.00M $10.00M
United States Segment
United States Segment
$0 $0 $110.00M $110.00M
Real Estate
Real Estate
$0 $10.00M $0 $0
Service Other
Service Other
$0 $0 $0 $0

Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary

Read Call Summary

5-Year Trend Analysis

A comprehensive look at Jefferson Capital, Inc. Common Stock's financial evolution and strategic trajectory over the past five years.

+ Strengths

JCAP combines rapid top‑line growth with very strong gross and operating margins, a large and growing asset base, and a now‑healthy cash flow profile. Its technology‑ and data‑driven approach, sector‑leading efficiency metrics, and strong compliance and consumer‑friendly programs create a credible competitive edge. Liquidity has improved markedly, retained earnings have grown, and the business appears well positioned to benefit from a robust pipeline of distressed consumer debt supply.

! Risks

The main risks center on high and rising leverage, the cyclicality and credit sensitivity of the underlying portfolios, and the potential for regulatory or reputational challenges in a tightly supervised industry. Recent declines in net income and earnings per share despite record revenue highlight that profitability is not immune to margin pressure, tax effects, or non‑operating items. The large receivables and growing intangible balances introduce credit and acquisition‑execution risk, and the lack of explicit R&D spending raises questions about whether innovation is being funded at a sufficient level for the long term.

Outlook

If JCAP can continue to execute its data‑driven strategy, maintain strong collection performance, and manage leverage prudently, it appears positioned for continued growth, supported by a favorable supply of distressed consumer debt and a scalable analytics platform. The outlook is constructive but not without caveats: future performance will depend on credit-cycle conditions, regulatory developments, funding costs, and the company’s ability to keep its technological edge and risk controls ahead of peers. Overall, the story is one of a capable specialist with meaningful upside potential but elevated financial and operating complexity that warrants close ongoing monitoring.