KEY - KeyCorp Stock Analysis | Stock Taper
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KeyCorp

KEY

KeyCorp NYSE
$20.74 -5.10% (-1.12)

Market Cap $22.86 B
52w High $23.35
52w Low $12.73
Dividend Yield 4.49%
Frequency Quarterly
P/E 13.64
Volume 27.54M
Outstanding Shares 1.10B

Income Statement

Period Revenue Operating Expense Net Income Net Profit Margin Earnings Per Share EBITDA
Q4-2025 $2.86B $1.24B $510M 17.83% $0.43 $648M
Q3-2025 $2.83B $1.18B $489M 17.26% $0.41 $609M
Q2-2025 $2.8B $1.15B $425M 15.19% $0.35 $547M
Q1-2025 $2.7B $1.09B $405M 15.01% $0.33 $518M
Q4-2024 $1.87B $1.17B $-244M -13.02% $-0.28 $-408M

What's going well?

Profits and margins both improved, with net income up 4% and gross margin rising to 66%. Interest costs fell, and the company kept a steady hand on share count, helping boost earnings per share.

What's concerning?

Revenue growth is slow, and operating expenses are rising faster than sales. Heavy interest costs continue to weigh on the bottom line, limiting profit growth.

Balance Statement

Period Cash & Short-term Total Assets Total Liabilities Total Equity
Q4-2025 $11.45B $184.38B $164B $20.38B
Q3-2025 $16.24B $187.41B $167.31B $20.1B
Q2-2025 $21.62B $185.5B $166.01B $19.48B
Q1-2025 $20.32B $188.69B $169.69B $19B
Q4-2024 $22.51B $187.17B $168.99B $18.18B

What's financially strong about this company?

The company has a large base of receivables and investments, moderate debt that is mostly long-term, and a history of profitability. Equity is positive and growing.

What are the financial risks or weaknesses?

Liquidity is tight, with current assets not covering current liabilities. Cash reserves fell sharply, and the company relies heavily on collecting receivables and managing payables.

Cash Flow Statement

Period Net Income Cash From Operations Cash From Investing Cash From Financing Net Change Free Cash Flow
Q4-2025 $510M $807M $2.4B $-6.9B $-1.94B $762M
Q3-2025 $489M $396M $-1.2B $979M $172M $367M
Q2-2025 $425M $1.23B $2.73B $-4.11B $-143M $1.21B
Q1-2025 $405M $-140M $-711M $1.02B $166M $-150M
Q4-2024 $-244M $1.73B $1.19B $-2.45B $467M $1.7B

What's strong about this company's cash flow?

Operating and free cash flow more than doubled this quarter, showing the business can generate real cash. Debt is being paid down, and shareholder returns are healthy.

What are the cash flow concerns?

Despite strong cash generation, the company ended with zero cash, which is a serious risk. Large swings in financing and working capital may not be sustainable.

Revenue by Products

Product Q4-2024Q1-2025Q2-2025Q4-2025
Cards And Payments
Cards And Payments
$240.00M $80.00M $80.00M $170.00M
Investment Banking And Debt Placement
Investment Banking And Debt Placement
$390.00M $130.00M $130.00M $290.00M
Other Noninterest Income
Other Noninterest Income
$10.00M $0 $0 $0
Service Charges On Deposit Accounts
Service Charges On Deposit Accounts
$190.00M $70.00M $70.00M $150.00M
Trust And Investment Services
Trust And Investment Services
$390.00M $130.00M $140.00M $290.00M

Q4 2025 Earnings Call Summary

Read Call Summary

5-Year Trend Analysis

A comprehensive look at KeyCorp's financial evolution and strategic trajectory over the past five years.

+ Strengths

KeyCorp benefits from a diversified business mix, a substantial regional footprint, and a growing set of fee-based and specialized offerings. Revenue has returned to growth after a setback, profitability has recovered from a loss year, and the balance sheet shows reduced debt and stable equity. The bank is leaning into technology and AI to enhance both customer experiences and internal processes, and its focus on middle-market clients, wealth management, and niche platforms like Laurel Road provides differentiated income streams.

! Risks

The main concerns are volatility and funding resilience. Earnings and margins have swung widely, including a negative year followed by a rebound, and cash flow metrics have deteriorated sharply more recently, with reported operating and free cash flows falling to very low levels. Liquidity ratios are weak, reflecting heavy reliance on short-term liabilities, and operating expenses have trended higher. On top of that, KeyCorp faces the usual regional bank risks: sensitivity to interest rates, credit cycles, depositor behavior, regulatory demands, and intensifying competition from both large banks and fintechs.

Outlook

The outlook is a mix of promise and caution. On one hand, renewed revenue and profit growth, lower leverage, and a clear technology and innovation roadmap suggest the franchise is adapting and investing for the future. On the other hand, strained liquidity ratios and very weak recent cash flow generation raise questions about how easily the bank can weather further shocks or fund its ambitions without additional balance sheet pressure. Future performance will likely hinge on stabilizing cash generation, maintaining credit quality, and successfully translating its sizable tech spend into durable competitive and financial benefits.