LOCO - El Pollo Loco Holdi... Stock Analysis | Stock Taper
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El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.

LOCO

El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. NASDAQ
$11.06 -0.72% (-0.08)

Market Cap $331.30 M
52w High $11.74
52w Low $8.29
Dividend Yield 15.42%
Frequency Special
P/E 12.57
Volume 139.08K
Outstanding Shares 29.95M

Income Statement

Period Revenue Operating Expense Net Income Net Profit Margin Earnings Per Share EBITDA
Q3-2025 $121.52M $23.83M $7.36M 6.05% $0.25 $15.43M
Q2-2025 $125.83M $12.82M $7.11M 5.65% $0.24 $15.23M
Q1-2025 $119.18M $15.17M $5.48M 4.6% $0.19 $12.86M
Q4-2024 $114.28M $15.27M $5.95M 5.21% $0.2 $13.02M
Q3-2024 $120.39M $15.54M $6.19M 5.14% $0.21 $14.29M

What's going well?

Gross profit and margins jumped thanks to lower product costs. Net income and earnings per share both edged higher, showing the company can stay profitable even with lower sales.

What's concerning?

Revenue is shrinking and operating expenses soared, which could hurt profits if the trend continues. The business is less efficient this quarter, and future growth looks uncertain if sales keep falling.

Balance Statement

Period Cash & Short-term Total Assets Total Liabilities Total Equity
Q3-2025 $10.87M $602.75M $319.82M $282.93M
Q2-2025 $8.99M $596.78M $322.6M $274.18M
Q1-2025 $4.32M $590.45M $324.75M $265.7M
Q4-2024 $2.48M $592.01M $331.35M $260.67M
Q3-2024 $7.89M $589.97M $334.76M $255.21M

What's financially strong about this company?

Debt is slowly coming down, equity is growing, and the company has a long history of positive retained earnings. They paid down payables and slightly increased their cash cushion this quarter.

What are the financial risks or weaknesses?

Cash is thin compared to short-term bills, and over half the assets are goodwill and intangibles. Lease obligations are large, and the disappearance of PP&E raises questions about the quality of the asset base.

Cash Flow Statement

Period Net Income Cash From Operations Cash From Investing Cash From Financing Net Change Free Cash Flow
Q3-2025 $7.36M $15.29M $-5.38M $-8.03M $1.88M $9.91M
Q2-2025 $7.11M $14.14M $-5.04M $-4.43M $4.67M $9.1M
Q1-2025 $5.48M $4.74M $-3.39M $493K $1.84M $1.35M
Q4-2024 $5.95M $5.63M $-4.5M $-6.54M $-5.41M $1.13M
Q3-2024 $6.19M $13.03M $-3.89M $-11.71M $-2.57M $9.14M

What's strong about this company's cash flow?

LOCO is producing more cash than it reports in profits, with operating cash flow and free cash flow both rising. The company is paying down debt and growing its cash pile, all from its own operations.

What are the cash flow concerns?

Working capital changes hurt cash flow this quarter, mainly from paying down payables. Shareholder returns are minimal, and the cash cushion, while growing, is not huge.

Revenue by Products

Product Q4-2024Q1-2025Q2-2025Q3-2025
Franchise
Franchise
$30.00M $10.00M $10.00M $10.00M
Franchise Advertising Fee
Franchise Advertising Fee
$0 $10.00M $0 $0
Gift Card Liability
Gift Card Liability
$0 $0 $0 $0
Loyalty Reward Program
Loyalty Reward Program
$0 $0 $0 $0
Service
Service
$300.00M $100.00M $100.00M $100.00M

Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary

Read Call Summary

5-Year Trend Analysis

A comprehensive look at El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.'s financial evolution and strategic trajectory over the past five years.

+ Strengths

Key strengths include steady revenue growth, improving recent profitability, and consistently positive operating and free cash flow. The brand has a clear identity anchored in fire-grilled chicken and a differentiated “L.A. Mex” positioning, supported by growing digital capabilities and store formats tailored to off-premise demand. Retained earnings have recovered, indicating that over time the business has added value rather than consuming capital.

! Risks

Main risks center on weakening liquidity, with much lower cash balances and higher short-term obligations, as well as rising overhead costs that could erode margin gains. The company also operates in a highly competitive, cost-sensitive industry where traffic can shift quickly, and its regional scale limits its bargaining power and resilience compared with national giants. Aggressive capital returns in recent years have further reduced financial flexibility just as operating and financing environments remain uncertain.

Outlook

The outlook appears balanced: the core business is healthy, cash generative, and competitively differentiated, but the financial cushion is thin and the operating environment is demanding. If LOCO can maintain recent margin improvements, keep capital spending disciplined, and moderate overhead and capital returns, it is positioned to continue gradual, sustainable progress. Conversely, any combination of weaker traffic, cost inflation, or limited access to financing could weigh more heavily given the current liquidity profile.