MNR - Mach Natural Resourc... Stock Analysis | Stock Taper
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Mach Natural Resources LP

MNR

Mach Natural Resources LP NYSE
$13.02 1.01% (+0.13)

Market Cap $2.19 B
52w High $15.91
52w Low $10.46
Dividend Yield 16.17%
Frequency Quarterly
P/E 13.85
Volume 266.17K
Outstanding Shares 168.42M

Income Statement

Period Revenue Operating Expense Net Income Net Profit Margin Earnings Per Share EBITDA
Q3-2025 $272.56M $179.07M $-35.65M -13.08% $-0.28 $132.49M
Q2-2025 $288.52M $8.8M $89.66M 31.08% $0.76 $168.9M
Q1-2025 $226.77M $10.87M $15.89M 7.01% $0.14 $97.36M
Q4-2024 $234.94M $9.71M $221.7M 94.36% $0.34 $130.87M
Q3-2024 $255.54M $9.38M $67.44M 26.39% $0.7 $159.79M

What's going well?

Gross margins improved a lot, showing better control over product costs. If the big expense was a one-off, core operations could recover. Revenue is still sizable, giving room for a turnaround.

What's concerning?

Operating expenses exploded, wiping out profits and causing a big loss. Share dilution is hurting shareholders. The large, unusual expense raises questions about management and future stability.

Balance Statement

Period Cash & Short-term Total Assets Total Liabilities Total Equity
Q3-2025 $53.6M $3.77B $1.81B $1.96B
Q2-2025 $13.78M $2.33B $958.47M $1.38B
Q1-2025 $7.79M $2.24B $863.74M $1.38B
Q4-2024 $105.78M $2.34B $1.14B $1.2B
Q3-2024 $184.53M $2.33B $1.1B $1.22B

What's financially strong about this company?

The company owns almost all real, tangible assets and has no goodwill or intangibles. Equity is strong, and cash has improved significantly this quarter.

What are the financial risks or weaknesses?

Debt has nearly doubled, and more cash is tied up in receivables and inventory. Liquidity is only just adequate, and the company may be relying on new funding to support growth.

Cash Flow Statement

Period Net Income Cash From Operations Cash From Investing Cash From Financing Net Change Free Cash Flow
Q3-2025 $-35.65M $105.55M $-595.98M $530.25M $39.82M $48.26M
Q2-2025 $89.66M $130.14M $-134.38M $10.23M $5.99M $-4.46M
Q1-2025 $15.89M $142.52M $-78.01M $-162.5M $-97.99M $91.13M
Q4-2024 $36.52M $133.66M $-127.04M $-85.38M $-78.76M $84.96M
Q3-2024 $67.44M $110.85M $-94.01M $23.08M $39.91M $62.7M

What's strong about this company's cash flow?

The company turned free cash flow positive this quarter, generating $48 million after investments. Cash flow from operations remains solid, and dividends are being paid out.

What are the cash flow concerns?

The business posted a net loss, operating cash flow is down, and the company needed to borrow $585 million to support its activities. Cash reserves are still low, and dividend payouts nearly match free cash flow.

Revenue by Products

Product Q4-2024Q1-2025Q2-2025Q3-2025
Natural Gas
Natural Gas
$170.00M $90.00M $70.00M $80.00M
Natural Gas Gathering Transportation Marketing and Processing
Natural Gas Gathering Transportation Marketing and Processing
$0 $0 $0 $0
Oil
Oil
$400.00M $120.00M $0 $0

Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary

Read Call Summary

5-Year Trend Analysis

A comprehensive look at Mach Natural Resources LP's financial evolution and strategic trajectory over the past five years.

+ Strengths

Key strengths include strong growth in revenue and operating scale, consistently robust operating cash flow and positive free cash flow, and a largely tangible asset base supported by integrated midstream infrastructure. The company has developed a low‑cost operating profile and a disciplined, cash‑flow‑focused acquisition strategy, overseen by an experienced management team with deep basin knowledge. Its business model, emphasizing relatively low reinvestment and high distributions, is designed to translate operational success directly into cash returns for unitholders.

! Risks

The main risks center on volatility and financial leverage. Profitability and margins have declined from prior peaks despite higher revenue, as rising costs, depreciation, and sharply higher interest expenses have weighed on earnings. Debt levels are much higher than in earlier years, while liquidity ratios have fallen below comfortable levels, leaving less cushion against downturns. The strategy relies on continued access to attractive acquisitions, healthy commodity prices—particularly for natural gas as the mix shifts—and sustained operational outperformance; setbacks in any of these areas could pressure both cash flows and balance sheet resilience.

Outlook

The outlook for MNR is closely tied to the commodity cycle and its ability to keep executing its acquisition‑and‑optimization strategy. If natural gas and oil fundamentals remain supportive, the company’s low‑cost operations, integrated infrastructure, and strong cash generation could continue to support both growth investments and sizable distributions. However, higher leverage, weaker short‑term liquidity, and declining margins reduce room for error, making disciplined capital allocation and cost control increasingly important. Overall, MNR appears well positioned to benefit from favorable market conditions but more exposed if the operating or financial environment turns less supportive.