NLY-PI - Annaly Capital Ma... Stock Analysis | Stock Taper
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Annaly Capital Management, Inc.

NLY-PI

Annaly Capital Management, Inc. NYSE
$25.10 -1.95% (-0.50)

Market Cap $16.37 B
52w High $25.96
52w Low $24.15
Dividend Yield 9.52%
Frequency Quarterly
P/E 14.20
Volume 63.78K
Outstanding Shares 639.55M

Income Statement

Period Revenue Operating Expense Net Income Net Profit Margin Earnings Per Share EBITDA
Q4-2025 $1.79B $51.21M $1.01B 56.67% $1.4 $2.33B
Q3-2025 $1.63B $50.34M $832.45M 51.07% $1.21 $2.07B
Q2-2025 $1.79B $50.02M $57.1M 3.19% $0.03 $1.22B
Q1-2025 $244.54M $48.06M $124.22M 50.8% $0.15 $1.24B
Q4-2024 $539.11M $43.97M $482.05M 89.42% $0.78 $1.64B

What's going well?

Revenue and profits are both up sharply, with margins improving across the board. Operating expenses are tightly managed, and the company is generating strong returns despite high interest costs.

What's concerning?

The number of shares outstanding jumped, which can dilute future earnings per share. The business is still heavily reliant on interest income, so any rate changes could impact results.

Balance Statement

Period Cash & Short-term Total Assets Total Liabilities Total Equity
Q4-2025 $2.04B $135.61B $119.45B $16.09B
Q3-2025 $320.35M $125.86B $110.86B $14.91B
Q2-2025 $267.08M $112.14B $98.67B $13.38B
Q1-2025 $296.94M $105.12B $92.03B $12.99B
Q4-2024 $2.35B $103.56B $90.86B $12.61B

What's financially strong about this company?

Equity increased by $1.1 billion this quarter, and the company has almost no goodwill or intangible risk. Asset base is mostly real investments, not accounting entries.

What are the financial risks or weaknesses?

Debt is enormous and mostly short-term, with almost no cash buffer. The company relies on constant refinancing, and negative retained earnings show a history of losses.

Cash Flow Statement

Period Net Income Cash From Operations Cash From Investing Cash From Financing Net Change Free Cash Flow
Q4-2025 $1.01B $644.34M $-9.89B $9.19B $-58.86M $471.53M
Q3-2025 $843.06M $24.09M $-11.82B $11.83B $37.85M $-292.2M
Q2-2025 $60.37M $180.74M $-7.31B $7.36B $225.32M $141.92M
Q1-2025 $130.31M $-156.27M $1.66B $-1.16B $345.5M $-543.41M
Q4-2024 $473.08M $2.81B $-6.25B $3.37B $-72.13M $2.65B

What's strong about this company's cash flow?

Operating and free cash flow both turned positive this quarter, showing much better cash generation. Capital spending decreased, helping boost free cash flow.

What are the cash flow concerns?

The company relies heavily on new debt to fund both operations and shareholder dividends. Cash profits are much lower than reported earnings, and payouts are not covered by free cash flow.

Q4 2025 Earnings Call Summary

Read Call Summary

5-Year Trend Analysis

A comprehensive look at Annaly Capital Management, Inc.'s financial evolution and strategic trajectory over the past five years.

+ Strengths

Annaly combines large scale, diversified mortgage exposure, and improving cash generation. The company has demonstrated the ability to rebound from a weak year, restore profitability, and grow its asset base and equity. Operational costs are reasonably well controlled, free cash flow has generally covered dividends, and the firm benefits from strong market access and specialized expertise in mortgage finance and securitization.

! Risks

The business model is inherently volatile and highly sensitive to interest rates, funding costs, and mortgage market conditions. Earnings and reported revenue can swing sharply, as seen in 2023, and leverage has risen again after a period of reduction, increasing financial risk. Balance sheet and liquidity reporting are complex, retained earnings remain negative, and the company depends heavily on capital markets and wholesale funding, which may tighten in stressed environments.

Outlook

Looking ahead, Annaly appears positioned to continue playing a major role in mortgage finance, with a strategic tilt toward higher‑return areas like residential credit and servicing rights and an enhanced focus on analytics and structuring. If markets remain reasonably functional and interest‑rate volatility is manageable, its scale and capabilities could support ongoing cash generation and preferred distributions. However, the path is unlikely to be smooth, and outcomes will remain closely tied to macro conditions and the firm’s ability to manage leverage and funding through future cycles.