OLLI - Ollie's Bargain Out... Stock Analysis | Stock Taper
Logo
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.

OLLI

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. NASDAQ
$107.10 -0.72% (-0.78)

Market Cap $6.57 B
52w High $141.74
52w Low $97.04
P/E 29.67
Volume 776.33K
Outstanding Shares 61.33M

Income Statement

Period Revenue Operating Expense Net Income Net Profit Margin Earnings Per Share EBITDA
Q3-2025 $613.62M $180.27M $46.17M 7.52% $0.75 $77M
Q2-2025 $679.56M $194.36M $61.31M 9.02% $1 $91.42M
Q1-2025 $576.77M $164.83M $47.56M 8.25% $0.78 $73.75M
Q4-2024 $667.08M $183.88M $68.55M 10.28% $1.12 $104.33M
Q3-2024 $517.43M $169.94M $35.88M 6.94% $0.59 $63.37M

What's going well?

The company remains profitable, with no debt costs and steady gross margins. Cost controls are helping to keep margins from falling further despite lower sales.

What's concerning?

Sales dropped sharply, and profits fell even faster. Operating expenses are rising while revenue is shrinking, which could hurt future profitability if the trend continues.

Balance Statement

Period Cash & Short-term Total Assets Total Liabilities Total Equity
Q3-2025 $186.01M $2.86B $1.02B $1.83B
Q2-2025 $317.06M $2.8B $1.02B $1.79B
Q1-2025 $369.51M $2.71B $977.17M $1.73B
Q4-2024 $428.67M $2.56B $865.84M $1.7B
Q3-2024 $303.91M $2.47B $853.87M $1.62B

What's financially strong about this company?

The company has a strong equity base, a long history of profits, and a healthy balance between debt and equity. It also continues to invest in its stores and buy back shares, showing confidence in its future.

What are the financial risks or weaknesses?

Cash and short-term investments dropped 41% in one quarter, and inventory is piling up, which could be risky if sales slow. Lease obligations are large, and most liquid assets are tied up in inventory.

Cash Flow Statement

Period Net Income Cash From Operations Cash From Investing Cash From Financing Net Change Free Cash Flow
Q3-2025 $46.17M $4.76M $-88.1M $-3.12M $-86.46M $-25.97M
Q2-2025 $61.31M $80.71M $-39.74M $-8.82M $32.15M $54.3M
Q1-2025 $47.56M $28.7M $-18.27M $-16.54M $-6.11M $1.96M
Q4-2024 $68.55M $147.76M $-71.89M $573K $76.44M $123.38M
Q3-2024 $35.88M $-4.37M $-24.05M $-13.5M $-41.91M $-35.38M

What's strong about this company's cash flow?

The company still has a solid cash cushion of $144.7 million and is investing in the business. Debt is low and being paid down, and shareholder dilution is not a concern.

What are the cash flow concerns?

Cash flow from operations dropped sharply, and inventory build-up hurt cash. Free cash flow turned negative, and if this continues, the cash balance could become a problem.

Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary

Read Call Summary

5-Year Trend Analysis

A comprehensive look at Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.'s financial evolution and strategic trajectory over the past five years.

+ Strengths

OLLI combines a simple, focused value proposition with improving financial performance. Revenue growth has reaccelerated, margins have largely recovered from their low point, and the balance sheet still shows strong liquidity and growing equity. The business model benefits from a large, loyal customer base, strong supplier relationships, and a store experience that keeps customers coming back. In a cautious consumer environment, its discount positioning can be a structural advantage.

! Risks

Key risks include rising overhead costs that are outpacing revenue, increased leverage and lease commitments, and notable volatility in cash flows due to heavy investment and buybacks. The company’s reliance on opportunistic closeout deals and a purely brick-and-mortar approach exposes it to sourcing disruptions and changing shopping habits. Rapid store expansion adds operational and execution risk, particularly in maintaining merchandising quality and supply chain efficiency at larger scale.

Outlook

The overall trajectory is constructive: the company appears to have moved past a profit slump and is growing both its top line and margins again, supported by expanding stores and resilient demand for bargains. If management can control SG&A growth, manage leverage prudently, and convert its rising capital spending into stronger and more stable free cash flow, fundamentals could continue to improve. At the same time, the outlook depends on disciplined execution in a competitive and evolving retail landscape, where cost control, sourcing agility, and customer relevance will be critical determinants of long-term performance.