PRG - PROG Holdings, Inc. Stock Analysis | Stock Taper
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PROG Holdings, Inc.

PRG

PROG Holdings, Inc. NYSE
$35.21 -4.40% (-1.62)

Market Cap $1.39 B
52w High $41.14
52w Low $23.50
Dividend Yield 1.99%
Frequency Quarterly
P/E 8.94
Volume 857.26K
Outstanding Shares 39.55M

Income Statement

Period Revenue Operating Expense Net Income Net Profit Margin Earnings Per Share EBITDA
Q4-2025 $574.59M $155.57M $40.47M 7.04% $1.02 $419.02M
Q3-2025 $595.11M $541.58M $33.12M 5.57% $0.83 $440.08M
Q2-2025 $604.66M $543.94M $38.48M 6.36% $0.96 $453.46M
Q1-2025 $684.09M $627.77M $34.72M 5.08% $0.85 $523.76M
Q4-2024 $623.32M $169.49M $57.55M 9.23% $1.39 $50.17M

What's going well?

The company stayed profitable, with net income rising thanks to a gain from discontinued operations. Sales and marketing costs were trimmed, and interest expense is manageable.

What's concerning?

Revenue and operating profits are down, margins are getting squeezed, and the bottom line improvement is mostly from a one-off item. Overhead costs jumped, and core earnings quality is weaker.

Balance Statement

Period Cash & Short-term Total Assets Total Liabilities Total Equity
Q4-2025 $308.77M $1.61B $863.99M $746.42M
Q3-2025 $292.61M $1.55B $843.04M $703.56M
Q2-2025 $222.03M $1.45B $785.92M $668.67M
Q1-2025 $213.3M $1.47B $815.47M $654.45M
Q4-2024 $95.66M $1.51B $863.49M $650.28M

What's financially strong about this company?

The company has a big cash cushion, very low near-term bills, and a healthy equity position. Most debt is long-term, and they have a long history of profits.

What are the financial risks or weaknesses?

Inventory is rising quickly, which could be a problem if sales slow down. Debt is creeping up, and there is some reliance on inventory for liquidity.

Cash Flow Statement

Period Net Income Cash From Operations Cash From Investing Cash From Financing Net Change Free Cash Flow
Q4-2025 $19.91M $-54.9M $75.69M $-4.62M $16.16M $-57.5M
Q3-2025 $33.12M $110.05M $-34.25M $-5.21M $70.58M $106.49M
Q2-2025 $38.48M $69.89M $-30.7M $-30.47M $8.73M $67.96M
Q1-2025 $34.72M $209.93M $-4.09M $-88.19M $117.65M $207.97M
Q4-2024 $57.55M $-84.49M $-43.52M $1.94M $-126.07M $-86.77M

What's strong about this company's cash flow?

The company still has over $300 million in cash and is not dependent on new debt or equity. Dividend payments are modest and manageable for now.

What are the cash flow concerns?

Operating cash flow and free cash flow both swung negative, with a huge cash drain from working capital and inventory build-up. If this continues, the cash cushion will shrink quickly.

Revenue by Products

Product Q1-2025Q2-2025Q3-2025Q4-2025
Interest And Fees On Loans Receivable
Interest And Fees On Loans Receivable
$30.00M $30.00M $40.00M $0
Lease Revenues and Fees
Lease Revenues and Fees
$650.00M $570.00M $560.00M $540.00M

Q4 2025 Earnings Call Summary

Read Call Summary

5-Year Trend Analysis

A comprehensive look at PROG Holdings, Inc.'s financial evolution and strategic trajectory over the past five years.

+ Strengths

Key strengths include a historically profitable and cash‑generative core business, a much stronger balance sheet with no reported debt and ample cash, and a leading position in the lease‑to‑own and alternative consumer finance niche. The company’s technology platform, data‑driven underwriting, and network of retail and employer relationships give it meaningful competitive advantages. Its ecosystem of products—leasing, BNPL, payroll‑deduction purchasing, and cash advances—offers multiple ways to serve and monetize a large, underserved customer base while leveraging shared infrastructure.

! Risks

Major risks arise from the sharp discontinuity in the latest financials, especially the reported drop to zero revenue and the unusual changes in working capital and liabilities, which suggest a structural shift or data/reporting anomaly that must be clarified. The business also faces regulatory risk, credit and underwriting risk in a non‑prime customer base, and intense competition from both traditional lenders and newer fintech players. Volatility in earnings and cash flows tied to economic cycles and credit performance adds another layer of uncertainty, particularly if growth initiatives outpace risk controls.

Outlook

Looking ahead, the strategic direction is toward a broader fintech platform built on PRG’s existing strengths in alternative consumer finance and data‑driven underwriting. If the company can translate its innovation efforts and acquisitions into stable, recurring revenue growth while preserving credit discipline, the outlook for the underlying franchise could be favorable. However, the most recent financial anomalies, competitive dynamics, and regulatory environment introduce meaningful uncertainty. The forward story likely depends on how effectively PRG explains and manages its recent structural changes, scales its newer products, and maintains both risk quality and partner relationships over time.