REFI - Chicago Atlantic Re... Stock Analysis | Stock Taper
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Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc.

REFI

Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. NASDAQ
$12.27 -0.57% (-0.07)

Market Cap $260.13 M
52w High $16.23
52w Low $11.62
Dividend Yield 14.49%
Frequency Quarterly
P/E 7.26
Volume 75.66K
Outstanding Shares 21.08M

Income Statement

Period Revenue Operating Expense Net Income Net Profit Margin Earnings Per Share EBITDA
Q3-2025 $13.69M $13.69M $8.93M 65.29% $0.42 $0
Q2-2025 $14.59M $14.59M $8.88M 60.85% $0.42 $0
Q1-2025 $13.04M $13.04M $10.04M 76.99% $0.48 $0
Q4-2024 $13.9M $13.9M $7.92M 56.96% $0.4 $0
Q3-2024 $14.46M $14.46M $11.21M 77.54% $0.57 $0

What's going well?

Profits remain solid with a high net margin of 65%. Interest expense is falling, and overhead is well controlled.

What's concerning?

Revenue is shrinking, and all profit comes from non-operating sources, not the core business. Lack of growth could be a red flag if the trend continues.

Balance Statement

Period Cash & Short-term Total Assets Total Liabilities Total Equity
Q3-2025 $28.92M $427.08M $117.16M $309.91M
Q2-2025 $35.56M $455.21M $145.19M $310.03M
Q1-2025 $9.88M $414.67M $103.89M $310.78M
Q4-2024 $26.4M $435.15M $126.19M $308.96M
Q3-2024 $6.76M $365.91M $70.45M $295.47M

What's financially strong about this company?

The company has a large equity cushion, low goodwill risk, and reduced its debt this quarter. Most of its funding comes from shareholders, not lenders.

What are the financial risks or weaknesses?

Liquidity is a major concern—current assets are far below current liabilities, so the company could struggle to pay near-term bills. The big drop in receivables and cash means less flexibility.

Cash Flow Statement

Period Net Income Cash From Operations Cash From Investing Cash From Financing Net Change Free Cash Flow
Q3-2025 $8.93M $8.19M $14.06M $-28.89M $-6.64M $8.19M
Q2-2025 $8.88M $6.46M $-3.56M $22.77M $25.68M $6.46M
Q1-2025 $10.04M $7.63M $5.51M $-29.65M $-16.52M $7.63M
Q4-2024 $7.92M $1.83M $-41.27M $59.08M $19.64M $1.83M
Q3-2024 $11.21M $8.2M $23.54M $-32.05M $-310.45K $8.2M

What's strong about this company's cash flow?

REFI is producing steady cash from its core business, covering dividends and paying down debt. No reliance on outside funding this quarter, and cash flow improved over last quarter.

What are the cash flow concerns?

Cash balance dropped by $6.6 million, and dividend payouts nearly matched free cash flow, leaving less room for error. Some cash was used to pay down debt, which could pressure liquidity if not managed carefully.

Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary

Read Call Summary

5-Year Trend Analysis

A comprehensive look at Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc.'s financial evolution and strategic trajectory over the past five years.

+ Strengths

Key positives include a high-margin, capital-light lending model; strong net income and cash generation; a growing asset base with solid liquidity; and a defensible niche in cannabis-focused real estate finance built on specialized expertise and relationships. The company has also demonstrated the ability to return significant cash to shareholders while expanding its portfolio.

! Risks

Main concerns center on rising operating costs, a recent softening in revenue and earnings growth, increasing leverage, and negative retained earnings that reflect cumulative strain from early-stage losses and substantial dividends. On the strategic side, REFI is exposed to credit risk in a volatile industry and to regulatory changes that could both reshape its borrowers’ operating environment and attract deeper-pocketed competitors.

Outlook

The overall picture is of a profitable, specialized lender that has moved from rapid ramp-up to a more mature, nuanced growth phase. If REFI can maintain asset quality, control overhead, and navigate evolving cannabis and banking regulations, it appears positioned to continue generating solid cash flows from its niche. However, its future trajectory is likely to be more sensitive to credit cycles, regulatory developments, and competition than that of more diversified, mainstream lenders.