SCVL - Shoe Carnival, Inc. Stock Analysis | Stock Taper
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Shoe Carnival, Inc.

SCVL

Shoe Carnival, Inc. NASDAQ
$20.19 -2.37% (-0.49)

Market Cap $552.70 M
52w High $26.57
52w Low $15.21
Dividend Yield 3.20%
Frequency Quarterly
P/E 9.61
Volume 316.64K
Outstanding Shares 27.37M

Income Statement

Period Revenue Operating Expense Net Income Net Profit Margin Earnings Per Share EBITDA
Q3-2025 $297.15M $93.21M $14.65M 4.93% $0.54 $19.72M
Q2-2025 $306.39M $93.58M $19.23M 6.27% $0.7 $34.44M
Q1-2025 $277.71M $83.81M $9.34M 3.36% $0.34 $21.4M
Q4-2024 $262.94M $77.63M $14.66M 5.58% $0.54 $26.36M
Q3-2024 $306.88M $85.85M $19.24M 6.27% $0.71 $33.32M

What's going well?

The company remains profitable, with minimal debt and clean earnings. Overhead is steady, and other income provided a small boost.

What's concerning?

Sales slipped, and both gross and operating margins shrank. Profits fell sharply, and expenses are not coming down as quickly as revenue.

Balance Statement

Period Cash & Short-term Total Assets Total Liabilities Total Equity
Q3-2025 $107.66M $1.17B $489.36M $683.18M
Q2-2025 $91.92M $1.17B $494.56M $670.69M
Q1-2025 $92.95M $1.14B $486.58M $653.58M
Q4-2024 $123.11M $1.12B $475.14M $649M
Q3-2024 $91.1M $1.12B $488.77M $635.66M

What's financially strong about this company?

The company has a lot more cash than short-term bills, low reliance on debt, and a big cushion of shareholder equity. Inventory is moving well, and working capital is efficient.

What are the financial risks or weaknesses?

Debt is still significant compared to cash, and most assets are tied up in inventory and property. Retained earnings and share buyback data are missing, so long-term profit trends are unclear.

Cash Flow Statement

Period Net Income Cash From Operations Cash From Investing Cash From Financing Net Change Free Cash Flow
Q3-2025 $36.53M $33.64M $-13.92M $-4.06M $15.65M $19.71M
Q2-2025 $19.23M $13.26M $-8.91M $-4.1M $243K $2.2M
Q1-2025 $9.34M $-9.64M $-14.02M $-6.54M $-30.2M $-22.98M
Q4-2024 $14.66M $44.55M $-9.41M $-3.69M $31.45M $36.17M
Q3-2024 $19.24M $17.35M $-8.12M $-3.63M $5.6M $8.29M

What's strong about this company's cash flow?

Cash from operations more than doubled this quarter, and free cash flow jumped to $19.7 million. The company is self-funding, not taking on debt, and building its cash cushion.

What are the cash flow concerns?

A lot of cash was tied up in inventory and faster supplier payments, which could hurt future cash flow if not managed. Cash flow is also somewhat volatile between quarters.

Revenue by Products

Product Q2-2020Q3-2020Q4-2020Q1-2021
Accessories And Other
Accessories And Other
$20.00M $20.00M $0 $20.00M
Athletics
Athletics
$160.00M $150.00M $120.00M $170.00M
Non Athletics
Non Athletics
$120.00M $100.00M $120.00M $140.00M

Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary

Read Call Summary

5-Year Trend Analysis

A comprehensive look at Shoe Carnival, Inc.'s financial evolution and strategic trajectory over the past five years.

+ Strengths

Key positives include a solid and improving balance sheet, with strong liquidity and growing retained earnings; a track record of consistent profitability even as conditions normalize; and healthy cash generation over time. Operationally, the company benefits from a large and engaged loyalty program, a distinctive in‑store experience, and meaningful recent progress in digital, analytics, and supply‑chain systems. Strategic moves like the Shoe Station and Rogan’s acquisitions give it more scale and potential for brand repositioning, while investments are being backed by tangible cash flows and a measured use of leverage.

! Risks

The main concerns are the clear downtrend in revenue growth and profit margins since the post‑pandemic peak, and the fact that the earlier boom year now looks like an outlier rather than a new baseline. Retail footwear remains highly competitive and price‑sensitive, with ongoing pressure from large chains and e‑commerce players. Rising lease and debt obligations increase fixed costs, making the company more sensitive to sales swings. Volatile working capital and capex patterns have also led to uneven free cash flow, and the large‑scale Shoe Station rebranding introduces execution and integration risks if performance of converted stores does not match expectations.

Outlook

From here, the picture is one of a financially sound retailer working through a normalization phase in a challenging category, while attempting a significant strategic upgrade. The balance sheet and liquidity give management room to pursue its transformation and continue investing in technology and store formats. Future results will likely hinge on the success of the Shoe Station strategy, the ability to stabilize same‑store sales, and the restoration of at least part of the prior margin strength. The company appears positioned to remain a viable, cash‑generating operator, but the trajectory of growth and profitability over the next few years is uncertain and will depend heavily on execution and the broader consumer spending backdrop.