SERA - Sera Prognostics, Inc. Stock Analysis | Stock Taper
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Sera Prognostics, Inc.

SERA

Sera Prognostics, Inc. NASDAQ
$2.30 5.68% (+0.12)

Market Cap $83.22 M
52w High $4.09
52w Low $1.37
P/E -3.44
Volume 6.67K
Outstanding Shares 38.18M

Income Statement

Period Revenue Operating Expense Net Income Net Profit Margin Earnings Per Share EBITDA
Q4-2025 $10K $8.92M $-7.88M -78.81K% $-0.16 $-12.22M
Q3-2025 $16K $8.96M $-7.81M -48.84K% $-0.16 $-7.57M
Q2-2025 $17K $9.3M $-8.05M -47.33K% $-0.16 $-7.81M
Q1-2025 $38K $9.25M $-8.19M -21.54K% $-0.2 $-7.97M
Q4-2024 $24K $9.41M $-8.58M -35.75K% $-0.25 $-8.36M

Balance Statement

Period Cash & Short-term Total Assets Total Liabilities Total Equity
Q4-2025 $39.2M $101.93M $26.52M $75.41M
Q3-2025 $43.3M $108.13M $25.94M $82.18M
Q2-2025 $40.16M $111.83M $23.6M $88.23M
Q1-2025 $46.2M $118.18M $23.4M $94.78M
Q4-2024 $46.24M $72.58M $24.77M $47.8M

Cash Flow Statement

Period Net Income Cash From Operations Cash From Investing Cash From Financing Net Change Free Cash Flow
Q4-2025 $-7.88M $-6.12M $5.89M $93K $-137K $-6.45M
Q3-2025 $-7.81M $-6.48M $5.17M $373K $-935K $-6.59M
Q2-2025 $-8.05M $-5.47M $5.24M $18K $-214K $-5.75M
Q1-2025 $-8.19M $-7.55M $-44.8M $53.54M $1.19M $-7.56M
Q4-2024 $-8.58M $-6.26M $7.38M $234K $1.36M $-6.32M

Q4 2025 Earnings Call Summary

Read Call Summary

5-Year Trend Analysis

A comprehensive look at Sera Prognostics, Inc.'s financial evolution and strategic trajectory over the past five years.

+ Strengths

Key strengths include a strong scientific platform targeting a major unmet need in maternal-fetal health, a first-mover and clinically validated flagship product, a clean balance sheet with net cash and low debt, and a meaningful pipeline that could support a broader women’s health diagnostics franchise. The business model is asset-light, and existing partnerships with large lab networks offer distribution leverage if adoption grows.

! Risks

The main risks are severe ongoing losses, heavy negative cash flow from operations, and very low current revenue relative to expenses. The company depends on continuous access to external financing to support its R&D and commercialization efforts. Additional uncertainties include the pace of physician and payer adoption, potential competitive entrants, changes in reimbursement policies, and the possibility that some pipeline programs may not achieve clinical or commercial success.

Outlook

Looking ahead, Sera’s trajectory will largely be determined by its ability to convert scientific and clinical validation into sustained commercial traction and reimbursement, while carefully managing its cash runway. If adoption of PreTRM and future tests improves meaningfully, the current investment in R&D and infrastructure could eventually be rewarded with scale. If progress is slower, the company may face difficult trade-offs between funding innovation, supporting commercialization, and preserving its balance sheet. The outlook is therefore opportunity-rich but highly dependent on execution and capital access.