SNCY - Sun Country Airline... Stock Analysis | Stock Taper
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Sun Country Airlines Holdings, Inc.

SNCY

Sun Country Airlines Holdings, Inc. NASDAQ
$19.68 -3.53% (-0.72)

Market Cap $1.05 B
52w High $22.29
52w Low $8.10
P/E 20.50
Volume 1.10M
Outstanding Shares 53.22M

Income Statement

Period Revenue Operating Expense Net Income Net Profit Margin Earnings Per Share EBITDA
Q4-2025 $280.96M $165.7M $8.15M 2.9% $0.15 $42.58M
Q3-2025 $255.54M $152.54M $1.55M 0.61% $0.03 $34.59M
Q2-2025 $263.62M $157.8M $6.58M 2.49% $0.12 $42.74M
Q1-2025 $326.65M $177.56M $36.53M 11.18% $0.68 $63.32M
Q4-2024 $260.4M $32.57M $13.44M 5.16% $0.25 $51.78M

What's going well?

Revenue growth sped up to 10%, and profits jumped thanks to better margins and lower debt costs. The company is keeping expenses in check while growing sales.

What's concerning?

Net profit margins are still thin at just 3%. The business relies on keeping costs low, and any reversal in interest expense could hurt future profits.

Balance Statement

Period Cash & Short-term Total Assets Total Liabilities Total Equity
Q4-2025 $234.31M $1.68B $1.06B $625.2M
Q3-2025 $176.22M $1.6B $993.72M $610.21M
Q2-2025 $138.3M $1.55B $939.06M $613.04M
Q1-2025 $158.77M $1.59B $989.01M $603.02M
Q4-2024 $187.27M $1.63B $1.06B $570.37M

What's financially strong about this company?

SNCY has grown its cash reserves by 33% this quarter, maintains positive equity, and has a large investment in real assets like aircraft. The company has a history of profitability and manageable lease obligations.

What are the financial risks or weaknesses?

Liquidity is tight, with less than $1 in current assets for every $1 due soon. Debt is rising, and payables are growing faster than receivables, which could signal pressure on working capital.

Cash Flow Statement

Period Net Income Cash From Operations Cash From Investing Cash From Financing Net Change Free Cash Flow
Q4-2025 $8.15M $78.91M $-66.17M $18.5M $31.17M $34.94M
Q3-2025 $1.55M $41.95M $35.17M $4.4M $81.52M $34.01M
Q2-2025 $6.58M $19.82M $2.56M $-36.2M $-13.82M $14.03M
Q1-2025 $36.53M $16.43M $-10.57M $-39.2M $-33.34M $1.02M
Q4-2024 $13.44M $90.56M $-12.54M $-44.99M $33.03M $85.84M

What's strong about this company's cash flow?

The company is producing much more cash than its reported profits suggest. Operating cash flow nearly doubled this quarter, and free cash flow remains solid even after heavy investment.

What are the cash flow concerns?

Much of the cash boost came from working capital changes, which may not repeat. Heavy capital spending means the company needs to keep generating strong cash flow to maintain its position.

Revenue by Products

Product Q4-2024Q1-2025Q2-2025Q4-2025
Ancillary
Ancillary
$70.00M $0 $70.00M $220.00M
Cargo and Freight
Cargo and Freight
$30.00M $30.00M $30.00M $90.00M
Charter Service
Charter Service
$0 $0 $50.00M $0
Passenger
Passenger
$220.00M $290.00M $210.00M $420.00M
Scheduled Service
Scheduled Service
$0 $0 $90.00M $0
Service Other
Service Other
$20.00M $10.00M $10.00M $20.00M

Revenue by Geography

Region Q4-2024Q1-2025Q2-2025Q4-2025
Latin America
Latin America
$0 $30.00M $10.00M $10.00M
Other Countries
Other Countries
$0 $0 $0 $0
UNITED STATES
UNITED STATES
$260.00M $300.00M $260.00M $530.00M

Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary

Read Call Summary

5-Year Trend Analysis

A comprehensive look at Sun Country Airlines Holdings, Inc.'s financial evolution and strategic trajectory over the past five years.

+ Strengths

Sun Country combines strong revenue growth with a distinctive hybrid model that spreads risk across scheduled leisure flying, charter work, and contracted cargo for Amazon. Gross profitability has improved substantially, and operating cash flow is robust, indicating that the core business is fundamentally sound from a cash‑generation perspective. The company benefits from a cost‑efficient single‑fleet strategy, a modern digital platform, and a niche focus on resilient leisure and visiting‑friends‑and‑relatives traffic from its Midwest base. Equity has grown over time, reflecting cumulative investment and, historically, some retained profits.

! Risks

The main concerns center on earnings volatility, margin compression, and balance‑sheet stress. Net income and EPS have swung widely and currently sit below their prior peak, even as revenue climbs. Operating and overhead costs have eroded margins, and leverage remains material. Most notably, cash balances have fallen to very low levels, retained earnings have been wiped out in the latest year, and intangibles have been written off, all of which suggest financial strain or large recent uses of capital. The business is also exposed to industry‑wide risks (fuel, labor, competition), concentration in leisure routes and the Upper Midwest, dependence on a single major cargo customer, and the execution and regulatory risks tied to the planned Allegiant acquisition.

Outlook

The overall outlook is balanced: the underlying business model appears strategically sound and differentiated, with good top‑line momentum and solid operating cash generation, but the financial foundation has weakened in the most recent period. Future performance will likely hinge on Sun Country’s ability to restore and grow margins, rebuild liquidity and retained earnings, maintain capital discipline as it pursues fleet and network growth, and manage key relationships with Amazon and Allegiant. If the company can execute well on cost control, integration, and capital allocation, its hybrid model provides room for durable, if still cyclical, value creation; if not, its leverage and tight liquidity could amplify the impact of any downturn or operational setback.