TGT - Target Corporation Stock Analysis | Stock Taper
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Target Corporation

TGT

Target Corporation NYSE
$113.79 -0.87% (-1.00)

Market Cap $51.71 B
52w High $127.06
52w Low $83.44
Dividend Yield 4.92%
Frequency Quarterly
P/E 13.79
Volume 4.49M
Outstanding Shares 454.40M

Income Statement

Period Revenue Operating Expense Net Income Net Profit Margin Earnings Per Share EBITDA
Q3-2025 $25.27B $6.18B $689M 2.73% $1.52 $1.75B
Q2-2025 $25.21B $5.99B $935M 3.71% $2.05 $2.1B
Q1-2025 $23.85B $5.25B $1.04B 4.34% $2.28 $2.29B
Q4-2024 $30.91B $6.57B $1.1B 3.57% $2.42 $2.26B
Q3-2024 $25.67B $6.1B $854M 3.33% $1.86 $1.95B

What's going well?

Sales are steady, showing the business is holding its ground in a tough environment. The company remains profitable and there are no major one-time charges distorting results.

What's concerning?

Profits are shrinking quickly as costs rise faster than sales. Margins are getting squeezed, and if this continues, earnings could keep falling even if sales stay flat.

Balance Statement

Period Cash & Short-term Total Assets Total Liabilities Total Equity
Q3-2025 $3.82B $59.99B $44.49B $15.5B
Q2-2025 $4.34B $57.85B $42.43B $15.42B
Q1-2025 $2.89B $56.19B $41.24B $14.95B
Q4-2024 $4.76B $57.77B $43.1B $14.67B
Q3-2024 $3.43B $58.53B $44.04B $14.49B

What's financially strong about this company?

Target owns most of its stores and infrastructure, has no goodwill risk, and maintains positive equity with a long history of profits. Debt is manageable and spread out over time.

What are the financial risks or weaknesses?

Cash reserves are shrinking, and the company now has less than $1 in current assets for every $1 due soon. Rising inventory and payables could signal operational pressure if sales slow.

Cash Flow Statement

Period Net Income Cash From Operations Cash From Investing Cash From Financing Net Change Free Cash Flow
Q3-2025 $689M $1.13B $-937M $-709M $-519M $149M
Q2-2025 $935M $2.08B $-1.07B $437M $1.45B $1.01B
Q1-2025 $1.04B $275M $-787M $-1.36B $-1.88B $-515M
Q4-2024 $1.1B $3.29B $-918M $-1.04B $1.33B $2.37B
Q3-2024 $854M $739M $-637M $-166M $-64M $84M

What's strong about this company's cash flow?

Target is still generating positive cash from its core business and is self-funding, with no need for outside money. The company is reducing debt and returning cash to shareholders.

What are the cash flow concerns?

Operating and free cash flow both dropped sharply, and inventory is building up, which ties up cash. Shareholder returns exceeded free cash flow, which may not be sustainable if weak cash generation continues.

Revenue by Products

Product Q3-2024Q4-2024Q1-2025Q2-2025
Advertising Revenue
Advertising Revenue
$0 $650.00M $160.00M $220.00M
Apparel and Accessories
Apparel and Accessories
$4.00Bn $4.34Bn $3.71Bn $4.09Bn
Beauty
Beauty
$3.23Bn $3.44Bn $3.10Bn $3.40Bn
Beauty and Household Essentials
Beauty and Household Essentials
$4.71Bn $4.79Bn $4.36Bn $4.42Bn
Credit Card Profit Sharing
Credit Card Profit Sharing
$150.00M $140.00M $140.00M $130.00M
Food and Beverage
Food and Beverage
$5.92Bn $6.52Bn $5.90Bn $5.59Bn
Hardlines
Hardlines
$3.15Bn $6.15Bn $3.07Bn $3.52Bn
Home Furnishings and Decor
Home Furnishings and Decor
$4.18Bn $5.09Bn $3.22Bn $3.66Bn
Other Product
Other Product
$30.00M $100.00M $40.00M $180.00M
Other Other Revenue
Other Other Revenue
$290.00M $-300.00M $0 $0

Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary

Read Call Summary

5-Year Trend Analysis

A comprehensive look at Target Corporation's financial evolution and strategic trajectory over the past five years.

+ Strengths

Target’s main strengths include a well-known and trusted brand, a loyal customer base, and a differentiated store experience that balances value and style. Its comprehensive omnichannel capabilities and store-based fulfillment model provide a strong answer to both physical and online competitors. Financially, profitability and margins have recovered from a difficult period, operating cash flow is robust, and retained earnings and asset levels are moving in a healthy direction. A broad and successful private-label portfolio, together with high-profile partnerships and active use of data and AI, further support its competitive standing.

! Risks

Key risks center on sluggish revenue momentum, heightened leverage, and tight liquidity. The company operates in an intensely competitive environment where price wars, shifting consumer preferences, and digital disruption can quickly pressure sales and margins. Structural cost pressures—from labor, logistics, shrink, and technology—make it harder to sustain profitability if sales soften. Heavy exposure to the U.S. consumer and to discretionary spend adds cyclical risk, while the historical volatility of free cash flow underlines how working capital and capex cycles can strain finances at times.

Outlook

The overall picture for Target is one of a large, established retailer that appears to have moved past a period of acute margin stress and is now in a phase of stabilization and selective reinvestment. Earnings quality and cash flows have improved, and the strategic direction around omnichannel, owned brands, and technology-driven personalization is clear. Future performance will likely depend on Target’s ability to reignite consistent, if modest, top-line growth without undermining the margin gains it has rebuilt, while gradually managing leverage down from elevated levels. Outcomes remain sensitive to the broader retail environment and execution on innovation, but the company currently looks more balanced and resilient than during its recent trough.