TKR - The Timken Company Stock Analysis | Stock Taper
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The Timken Company

TKR

The Timken Company NYSE
$108.38 -1.37% (-1.50)

Market Cap $7.54 B
52w High $111.39
52w Low $56.20
Dividend Yield 1.71%
Frequency Quarterly
P/E 26.37
Volume 937.31K
Outstanding Shares 69.54M

Income Statement

Period Revenue Operating Expense Net Income Net Profit Margin Earnings Per Share EBITDA
Q4-2025 $1.11B $108.5M $62.3M 5.61% $0.89 $134.2M
Q3-2025 $1.16B $209.6M $69.3M 5.99% $0.99 $193.4M
Q2-2025 $1.17B $214.6M $78.5M 6.69% $1.13 $208.8M
Q1-2025 $1.14B $215.6M $78.3M 6.87% $1.12 $209.7M
Q4-2024 $1.07B $205.9M $71.2M 6.63% $1.02 $168.2M

What's going well?

The company is aggressively cutting operating expenses, which helps soften the blow from lower sales. Debt costs are manageable, and the business remains profitable.

What's concerning?

Revenue and profits are both down, and gross margins took a big hit. The business is low-margin and vulnerable to further cost pressures or weak demand.

Balance Statement

Period Cash & Short-term Total Assets Total Liabilities Total Equity
Q4-2025 $386.5M $6.68B $3.33B $3.18B
Q3-2025 $471.9M $6.8B $3.51B $3.13B
Q2-2025 $432.2M $6.81B $3.54B $3.09B
Q1-2025 $391.7M $6.57B $3.48B $2.92B
Q4-2024 $389.5M $6.41B $3.43B $2.83B

What's financially strong about this company?

The company has a healthy equity cushion, is paying down debt, and maintains a strong current ratio. Liquidity is excellent, and retained earnings show a long history of profitability.

What are the financial risks or weaknesses?

Cash reserves declined this quarter, and over a third of assets are tied up in goodwill and intangibles, which could be written down if acquisitions disappoint. Debt is moderate but should be watched if cash keeps falling.

Cash Flow Statement

Period Net Income Cash From Operations Cash From Investing Cash From Financing Net Change Free Cash Flow
Q4-2025 $62.3M $183.3M $-41.2M $-230.3M $-86.1M $140.7M
Q3-2025 $69.3M $201.1M $-45.5M $-121.9M $30.7M $163.8M
Q2-2025 $78.5M $111.3M $-29.1M $-54.3M $44.3M $78.2M
Q1-2025 $91.4M $58.6M $-32.5M $-30.6M $2.9M $23.4M
Q4-2024 $75.1M $178.6M $-54.6M $-140.6M $-39.8M $125M

What's strong about this company's cash flow?

The company consistently generates more cash than it reports in net income, showing high-quality earnings. It is self-funding, pays down debt, and returns cash to shareholders through dividends and buybacks.

What are the cash flow concerns?

Operating and free cash flow are both down from last quarter, and cash on hand decreased. Working capital swings may not be sustainable, and capital spending is rising.

Revenue by Products

Product Q4-2022Q2-2025Q3-2025Q4-2025
Engineered Bearings
Engineered Bearings
$0 $780.00M $770.00M $1.47Bn
Industrial Motion
Industrial Motion
$0 $400.00M $390.00M $780.00M
Mobile Industries
Mobile Industries
$500.00M $0 $0 $0
Process Industries
Process Industries
$590.00M $0 $0 $0

Revenue by Geography

Region Q1-2025Q2-2025Q3-2025Q4-2025
Asia Pacific
Asia Pacific
$0 $240.00M $230.00M $450.00M
AsiaPacific Excluding China
AsiaPacific Excluding China
$250.00M $0 $0 $0
Canada Mexico and South America
Canada Mexico and South America
$110.00M $120.00M $120.00M $120.00M
E M E A
E M E A
$270.00M $280.00M $290.00M $290.00M
UNITED STATES
UNITED STATES
$510.00M $0 $0 $0

Q4 2025 Earnings Call Summary

Read Call Summary

5-Year Trend Analysis

A comprehensive look at The Timken Company's financial evolution and strategic trajectory over the past five years.

+ Strengths

Key positives include a long-established and trusted brand in engineered bearings and motion products, strong technical and application engineering capabilities, and a diversified global customer base with meaningful exposure to growing areas like renewable energy and automation. Financially, Timken benefits from solid operating and free cash flow, healthy liquidity, and a larger asset and equity base supported by both organic growth and acquisitions. Its integrated lifecycle model and aftermarket presence deepen customer relationships and create recurring revenue.

! Risks

Major concerns center on the recent weakening of profitability, with margins and earnings per share under pressure despite continued revenue growth. Rising, though recently stabilizing, leverage adds financial risk, especially if cash generation were to soften during an industrial downturn. The sharp changes in retained earnings and intangibles suggest significant accounting or structural events that warrant careful interpretation. Competitive threats from both global peers and low‑cost producers, combined with the need to keep pace in smart, digital solutions, add strategic risk. Integration and performance of acquired businesses are another important uncertainty.

Outlook

The overall picture is mixed but balanced. Timken enters the future with strong cash generation, ample liquidity, and a credible competitive position in industrial motion and renewable‑linked markets. At the same time, margin compression, a heavier reliance on acquisitions, and some unusual balance sheet developments introduce uncertainty. How effectively the company restores profitability, manages its debt, and converts its innovation and acquisition strategy into sustainable, high‑margin growth will largely shape its trajectory over the next several years.