TPG - TPG Inc. Stock Analysis | Stock Taper
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TPG Inc.

TPG

TPG Inc. NASDAQ
$43.42 -3.45% (-1.55)

Market Cap $16.64 B
52w High $70.38
52w Low $37.52
Dividend Yield 3.42%
Frequency Quarterly
P/E 96.49
Volume 5.34M
Outstanding Shares 383.34M

Income Statement

Period Revenue Operating Expense Net Income Net Profit Margin Earnings Per Share EBITDA
Q4-2025 $1.49B $1.15B $77.11M 5.17% $0.5 $337.64M
Q3-2025 $840.04M $579.58M $49.3M 5.87% $0.33 $269.17M
Q2-2025 $696.03M $631.39M $14.94M 2.15% $0.03 $70.14M
Q1-2025 $743.33M $625.1M $25.39M 3.42% $0.08 $125.56M
Q4-2024 $744.54M $698.92M $12.98M 1.74% $0.04 $60.47M

What's going well?

Revenue soared 78% and net income rose 56%, showing strong business momentum. The company eliminated interest expense, which helped boost profits. Gross margins remain extremely high at 97%.

What's concerning?

Operating expenses grew even faster than revenue, squeezing operating margins from 27% to 20%. Efficiency slipped, and if costs keep rising this fast, future profits could be at risk.

Balance Statement

Period Cash & Short-term Total Assets Total Liabilities Total Equity
Q4-2025 $826.11M $13.49B $9.36B $1.19B
Q3-2025 $1.08B $13.02B $9.25B $1.14B
Q2-2025 $1.11B $11.97B $8.41B $991.88M
Q1-2025 $821.97M $11.31B $7.82B $823.08M
Q4-2024 $808.02M $10.54B $6.94B $784.1M

What's financially strong about this company?

Debt is down sharply and most of it is long-term, so there's no immediate repayment pressure. The company has a large base of investments and no goodwill risk.

What are the financial risks or weaknesses?

Cash is low compared to bills due soon, and current liabilities jumped dramatically. The lack of detail on $5.4 billion in other current liabilities is a red flag.

Cash Flow Statement

Period Net Income Cash From Operations Cash From Investing Cash From Financing Net Change Free Cash Flow
Q4-2025 $77.11M $0 $0 $0 $-267.48M $0
Q3-2025 $199.23M $492.04M $-245.2M $-278.45M $-31.61M $481.99M
Q2-2025 $30.11M $385.87M $-3.08M $-92.84M $289.94M $382.78M
Q1-2025 $87.83M $198.19M $-6.35M $-177.78M $14.06M $191.84M
Q4-2024 $11.09M $-188.07M $-1.46M $-167.09M $-356.63M $-189.54M

What's strong about this company's cash flow?

TPG still has a sizable cash cushion of $826 million, and last quarter showed strong cash generation and shareholder returns.

What are the cash flow concerns?

Cash flow from operations and free cash flow both fell to zero, and cash dropped by $267 million in just one quarter. If this continues, the cash cushion could disappear quickly.

Revenue by Products

Product Q1-2025Q2-2025Q3-2025Q4-2025
Expense Reimbursements And Other
Expense Reimbursements And Other
$60.00M $70.00M $80.00M $80.00M
Incentive Fees
Incentive Fees
$10.00M $10.00M $10.00M $30.00M
Management fees
Management fees
$420.00M $450.00M $470.00M $480.00M
Monitoring Fees
Monitoring Fees
$10.00M $10.00M $10.00M $10.00M
Transaction Fees
Transaction Fees
$50.00M $30.00M $30.00M $120.00M

Q4 2025 Earnings Call Summary

Read Call Summary

5-Year Trend Analysis

A comprehensive look at TPG Inc.'s financial evolution and strategic trajectory over the past five years.

+ Strengths

Key strengths include a globally recognized alternatives platform with diversified strategies, strong historical ability to generate cash and profits in favorable markets, and a differentiated franchise in impact and growth equity. The balance sheet shows growing assets and rising equity, indicating expansion and value creation over time. Operationally, TPG benefits from an established network, deep sector expertise, and an in-house operations team that can drive value in portfolio companies. Its willingness to innovate in impact measurement, climate, AI, and private wealth products further reinforces its brand and growth options.

! Risks

Main risks stem from volatility and leverage. Financial performance has swung widely, with periods of strong profitability followed by years of losses and declining cash flows. The balance sheet now carries higher debt and, more notably, a much weaker liquidity position after a large jump in short-term liabilities. Persistent growth in overhead costs, rising cost of revenue, and heavy shareholder payouts despite softer free cash flow all add execution and financial risk. Competitive intensity, regulatory scrutiny of private markets, and potential disappointments in impact or climate strategies could also weigh on growth and reputation.

Outlook

The overall outlook is one of cautious opportunity. TPG appears to be emerging from a difficult stretch with improving revenue and renewed profitability, backed by a larger asset base and a widening set of strategies and investor channels. If it can stabilize margins, rebuild cash generation, and manage its higher leverage and liquidity profile prudently, it is well positioned to benefit from long-term growth in alternatives, impact, climate, and private wealth investing. However, the path is unlikely to be smooth, and future results will likely remain sensitive to market cycles, fundraising conditions, and execution on its innovation agenda.