TRN - Trinity Industries,... Stock Analysis | Stock Taper
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Trinity Industries, Inc.

TRN

Trinity Industries, Inc. NYSE
$34.18 -0.12% (-0.04)

Market Cap $2.74 B
52w High $35.62
52w Low $22.38
Dividend Yield 4.28%
Frequency Quarterly
P/E 10.89
Volume 459.34K
Outstanding Shares 80.18M

Income Statement

Period Revenue Operating Expense Net Income Net Profit Margin Earnings Per Share EBITDA
Q4-2025 $611.2M $69.7M $186.6M 30.53% $2.36 $414.1M
Q3-2025 $454.1M $22.8M $30.3M 6.67% $0.38 $194.9M
Q2-2025 $506.2M $38M $14.1M 2.79% $0.17 $168.9M
Q1-2025 $585.4M $42.4M $22.1M 3.78% $0 $99.8M
Q4-2024 $629.4M $43M $28.9M 4.59% $0.35 $188M

What's going well?

Sales surged 35% this quarter, and net income hit a record $186.6 million. The company remains profitable and is generating strong cash flow.

What's concerning?

Profit margins are shrinking, and much of the profit comes from non-operating items rather than the core business. Costs and overhead are rising faster than sales, and interest expense is a heavy drag.

Balance Statement

Period Cash & Short-term Total Assets Total Liabilities Total Equity
Q4-2025 $201.3M $8.42B $7.28B $1.08B
Q3-2025 $238.7M $8.93B $7.68B $1B
Q2-2025 $315.3M $8.81B $7.55B $1.01B
Q1-2025 $94.9M $8.66B $7.37B $1.05B
Q4-2024 $374.4M $8.83B $7.53B $1.06B

What's financially strong about this company?

The company is paying down debt and reducing inventory, which helps lower risk. Most assets are tangible, and there is little exposure to goodwill write-downs.

What are the financial risks or weaknesses?

Cash is falling and debt is still very high compared to equity. Liquidity is getting tighter, and the company is heavily reliant on borrowing.

Cash Flow Statement

Period Net Income Cash From Operations Cash From Investing Cash From Financing Net Change Free Cash Flow
Q4-2025 $188.9M $177.4M $27.4M $-119.9M $84.9M $-60.4M
Q3-2025 $32.2M $44.2M $-156.3M $35.5M $-76.6M $-199.3M
Q2-2025 $47.1M $61.6M $-150.5M $169.1M $80.2M $-122.6M
Q1-2025 $22.1M $76.5M $-91.6M $-124.2M $-139.3M $-52.9M
Q4-2024 $52.1M $201.6M $-110.9M $-48.7M $42M $-21.6M

What's strong about this company's cash flow?

Operating cash flow surged to $177 million, and the company is paying down debt while still returning cash to shareholders. Cash balance grew despite heavy investments.

What are the cash flow concerns?

Free cash flow is still negative at -$60 million, meaning investments are outpacing cash generation. Sustained negative FCF could be a concern if it continues.

Revenue by Products

Product Q1-2025Q2-2025Q3-2025Q4-2025
Manufacturing
Manufacturing
$300.00M $200.00M $150.00M $300.00M

Revenue by Geography

Region Q1-2016Q2-2016Q3-2016Q4-2016
UNITED STATES
UNITED STATES
$0 $0 $0 $0

Q4 2025 Earnings Call Summary

Read Call Summary

5-Year Trend Analysis

A comprehensive look at Trinity Industries, Inc.'s financial evolution and strategic trajectory over the past five years.

+ Strengths

Trinity combines a leading market position with an integrated manufacturing, leasing, and services model that generates recurring revenue and deep customer relationships. Operationally, it has demonstrated the ability to expand gross and operating margins through cost discipline and mix management. The asset base is substantial and increasingly enhanced by digital capabilities, while recent years highlight strong potential for cash generation when conditions are favorable. Its innovation agenda, particularly in telematics, AI, and sustainable rail solutions, aligns with long‑term shifts in logistics and energy.

! Risks

At the same time, the company faces meaningful financial and industry risks. Net income and earnings per share collapsed in the latest year, largely due to tax and financing burdens, calling into question the stability of bottom‑line results. Leverage is high and liquidity metrics have weakened, leaving less cushion if demand softens or credit conditions tighten. Cash flows have been inconsistent, with several years of negative free cash flow driven by heavy investment needs. The underlying railcar market remains cyclical and exposed to macro conditions, regulatory changes, and competition from other transport modes and rival manufacturers and lessors.

Outlook

Looking forward, Trinity’s prospects hinge on whether it can translate its solid operational foundation and innovative, service‑oriented strategy into more stable, sustainable financial performance. If revenue normalizes, tax effects subside, and management prioritizes balance‑sheet strength, the business model could gradually shift toward steadier, higher‑margin leasing and services anchored by digital platforms. Conversely, prolonged softness in rail demand, elevated interest and tax burdens, or continued heavy reliance on debt‑funded growth could weigh on returns and financial flexibility. Overall, the company appears strategically well positioned within its niche, but its future trajectory will depend heavily on execution discipline and external economic and credit conditions.