TSCO - Tractor Supply Company Stock Analysis | Stock Taper
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Tractor Supply Company

TSCO

Tractor Supply Company NASDAQ
$51.84 1.29% (+0.66)

Market Cap $27.39 B
52w High $63.99
52w Low $46.85
Dividend Yield 1.73%
Frequency Quarterly
P/E 25.17
Volume 7.15M
Outstanding Shares 528.40M

Income Statement

Period Revenue Operating Expense Net Income Net Profit Margin Earnings Per Share EBITDA
Q4-2025 $3.9B $700.24M $227.41M 5.83% $0.43 $425.49M
Q3-2025 $3.72B $1.05B $259.27M 6.97% $0.49 $466.78M
Q2-2025 $4.44B $940.06M $430.04M 9.69% $0.81 $699.91M
Q1-2025 $3.47B $1.01B $179.37M 5.17% $0.34 $369.22M
Q4-2024 $3.77B $1.01B $236.41M 6.26% $0.44 $438.4M

What's going well?

The company is growing sales steadily, up 5% this quarter. Operating expenses are under control, rising slower than revenue, showing good cost discipline.

What's concerning?

Gross margins dropped sharply as product costs rose much faster than sales, leading to a 28% fall in gross profit and a 12% drop in net income. If this trend continues, future profits could be at risk.

Balance Statement

Period Cash & Short-term Total Assets Total Liabilities Total Equity
Q4-2025 $194.11M $10.93B $8.35B $2.58B
Q3-2025 $184.64M $10.88B $8.3B $2.57B
Q2-2025 $225.81M $10.56B $8.07B $2.49B
Q1-2025 $231.72M $10.39B $8.15B $2.24B
Q4-2024 $251.49M $9.81B $7.54B $2.27B

What's financially strong about this company?

The company owns a lot of real assets like stores and equipment, has a long record of profits, and is actively buying back shares. Inventory is being managed well and payables are down.

What are the financial risks or weaknesses?

Debt is high compared to equity, cash is low, and most assets are tied up in inventory and property. Lease obligations are also significant, which could be a burden if sales slow.

Cash Flow Statement

Period Net Income Cash From Operations Cash From Investing Cash From Financing Net Change Free Cash Flow
Q4-2025 $227.41M $324.83M $-101.71M $-213.66M $9.47M $59.28M
Q3-2025 $259.27M $307.85M $-228.2M $-120.83M $-41.17M $30.28M
Q2-2025 $430.04M $785.8M $-187.62M $-604.09M $-5.91M $575.44M
Q1-2025 $179.37M $216.78M $-261.05M $24.5M $-19.77M $75.5M
Q4-2024 $236.41M $517.23M $-183.79M $-268.23M $65.2M $271.2M

What's strong about this company's cash flow?

TSCO consistently generates strong operating cash flow, with free cash flow nearly doubling this quarter. The company returns a lot of cash to shareholders through dividends and buybacks, and earnings are backed by real cash.

What are the cash flow concerns?

A lot of cash is getting tied up in inventory and paying suppliers, which hurts cash flow. Shareholder returns are higher than free cash flow, which may not be sustainable if this continues.

Revenue by Products

Product Q1-2024Q2-2024Q3-2024Q2-2025
Clothing Gift Dcor
Clothing Gift Dcor
$510.00M $640.00M $590.00M $310.00M
Companion Animal
Companion Animal
$950.00M $1.19Bn $970.00M $930.00M
Livestock Equine Agriculture
Livestock Equine Agriculture
$920.00M $1.19Bn $870.00M $1.29Bn
Seasonal Recreation
Seasonal Recreation
$710.00M $930.00M $760.00M $1.24Bn
Truck Tool Hardware
Truck Tool Hardware
$310.00M $300.00M $280.00M $670.00M

Q4 2025 Earnings Call Summary

Read Call Summary

5-Year Trend Analysis

A comprehensive look at Tractor Supply Company's financial evolution and strategic trajectory over the past five years.

+ Strengths

Tractor Supply combines steady top‑line growth with solid profitability and strong cash generation. It holds a leading position in a clearly defined niche, backed by a large and loyal customer base and a store footprint that doubles as a last‑mile network. The company has shown an ability to reinvest profits into store growth, technology, and supply chain improvements while still returning significant cash to shareholders. Its focus on pet and animal health, targeted assortments, and community‑based service adds multiple layers of resilience beyond general retail trends.

! Risks

Key concerns center on gradual margin compression, rising overhead, and a balance sheet that has become more leveraged with less cash on hand. Increasing capital intensity, through both store and technology investments, raises the need for consistently strong execution and high returns on those projects. The customer base is exposed to rural economic cycles, weather patterns, and commodity conditions, which can affect spending. Competitive pressure from large generalists and online platforms could intensify, especially if they target the same product categories or geographies where Tractor Supply has historically enjoyed an edge.

Outlook

Overall, the picture is of a mature but still growing retailer with a durable niche and a willingness to invest in its future. Continued store expansion, digital enhancements, AI‑driven efficiency gains, and growth in higher‑value categories like pet and animal health offer avenues for ongoing revenue and earnings growth. The medium‑term outcome will likely hinge on management’s ability to keep costs in check, maintain service quality, and manage leverage and liquidity prudently as the investment cycle continues. If these elements are balanced well, Tractor Supply appears positioned to sustain a healthy, albeit not risk‑free, growth trajectory.