VLY - Valley National Bancorp Stock Analysis | Stock Taper
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Valley National Bancorp

VLY

Valley National Bancorp NASDAQ
$12.61 -5.68% (-0.76)

Market Cap $7.03 B
52w High $13.87
52w Low $7.48
Dividend Yield 3.72%
Frequency Quarterly
P/E 12.49
Volume 11.86M
Outstanding Shares 557.64M

Income Statement

Period Revenue Operating Expense Net Income Net Profit Margin Earnings Per Share EBITDA
Q4-2025 $892.14M $299.4M $195.4M 21.9% $0.34 $221.7M
Q3-2025 $891.81M $281.99M $163.35M 18.32% $0.28 $226.31M
Q2-2025 $867.61M $284.12M $133.17M 15.35% $0.23 $190.55M
Q1-2025 $843.06M $276.62M $106.06M 12.58% $0.18 $157.03M
Q4-2024 $886.46M $278.58M $115.71M 13.05% $0.2 $109.98M

What's going well?

Profits jumped 20% and gross margins improved, showing the company is keeping more from each sale. Interest expense fell and the tax rate dropped, both helping the bottom line.

What's concerning?

Operating expenses, especially admin costs, rose much faster than sales. If this keeps up, it could eat into future profits.

Balance Statement

Period Cash & Short-term Total Assets Total Liabilities Total Equity
Q4-2025 $4.52B $64.13B $56.33B $7.81B
Q3-2025 $1.61B $63.02B $55.32B $7.7B
Q2-2025 $1.54B $62.71B $55.13B $7.58B
Q1-2025 $1.58B $61.87B $54.37B $7.5B
Q4-2024 $2.12B $62.49B $55.06B $7.44B

What's financially strong about this company?

VLY has boosted its cash and investments to $4.5 billion, far more than its short-term debt. Equity is solid at $7.8 billion, and most debt is long-term, giving them breathing room.

What are the financial risks or weaknesses?

Debt has increased this quarter, and the sudden drop in reported current liabilities could mean a reporting change or reclassification. Goodwill is significant, so future write-downs are possible if acquisitions disappoint.

Cash Flow Statement

Period Net Income Cash From Operations Cash From Investing Cash From Financing Net Change Free Cash Flow
Q4-2025 $195.4M $196.64M $-915.2M $-237.31M $-1.37B $247.76M
Q3-2025 $163.35M $5.16M $-92.65M $271.52M $184.02M $-758K
Q2-2025 $133.17M $159.15M $-981.28M $784.85M $-37.28M $159.15M
Q1-2025 $106.06M $-17.12M $-175.31M $-474M $-666.43M $-17.12M
Q4-2024 $115.71M $392.2M $469.44M $-11.42M $850.22M $392.2M

What's strong about this company's cash flow?

Operating cash flow jumped to $239 million, and free cash flow hit $248 million, both much higher than last quarter. The company is generating real cash from its core business and even buying back shares.

What are the cash flow concerns?

Despite strong cash generation, the entire cash balance was used up, ending the quarter with zero cash. Working capital is a major drag, and the lack of cash on hand is risky.

Revenue by Products

Product Q3-2024Q4-2024Q2-2025Q4-2025
Deposit Account
Deposit Account
$10.00M $40.00M $10.00M $50.00M
Investment Advisory Management and Administrative Service
Investment Advisory Management and Administrative Service
$20.00M $50.00M $10.00M $50.00M

Q4 2025 Earnings Call Summary

Read Call Summary

5-Year Trend Analysis

A comprehensive look at Valley National Bancorp's financial evolution and strategic trajectory over the past five years.

+ Strengths

Valley National Bancorp combines strong top-line growth with a significantly larger asset base and an expanding geographic and product footprint. It has maintained positive free cash flow through different cycles, grown retained earnings and equity, and recovered profitability after a recent setback. Its long-standing community reputation, relationship-focused culture, and expanding capabilities in specialized lending and wealth management provide a solid franchise foundation. On top of that, the bank is taking concrete steps to modernize its technology and digital offerings through partnerships and an innovation platform, positioning it better against larger and more digital-savvy competitors.

! Risks

Key risks include sustained pressure on margins from rising costs, higher funding expenses, and the need for ongoing investment in technology and integration. Liquidity ratios have weakened over time, even though cash improved recently, suggesting less room for error in managing funding and balance sheet shocks. Cash flows, particularly from operations and investing, are volatile, which can complicate planning and capital allocation. The bank’s acquisitive strategy introduces integration and goodwill risks, and like all regional banks, it remains exposed to credit, interest rate, and regulatory risks that could quickly affect earnings and capital if conditions turn adverse.

Outlook

Taken together, the data suggest a bank that has moved through a phase of rapid expansion and is now working to translate its larger scale into more stable, efficient earnings. The rebound in profitability and operating cash flow in the latest year is encouraging, but the longer-term trend of margin compression and cash flow volatility shows that the transition is not yet complete. If Valley can continue to strengthen its cost discipline, maintain credit quality, and effectively leverage its innovation efforts, its larger franchise could support more durable performance over time. However, its sensitivity to funding conditions, regulatory demands, and competitive dynamics means that future results remain dependent on careful execution and a relatively supportive operating environment.