VST - Vistra Corp. Stock Analysis | Stock Taper
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Vistra Corp.

VST

Vistra Corp. NYSE
$173.89 -1.66% (-2.93)

Market Cap $58.92 B
52w High $219.82
52w Low $90.51
Dividend Yield 0.55%
Frequency Quarterly
P/E 62.55
Volume 3.34M
Outstanding Shares 338.83M

Income Statement

Period Revenue Operating Expense Net Income Net Profit Margin Earnings Per Share EBITDA
Q4-2025 $3.35B $478M $233M 6.96% $0.69 $-3.97B
Q3-2025 $4.97B $444M $652M 13.12% $1.78 $1.87B
Q2-2025 $4.25B $419M $327M 7.69% $0.83 $1.12B
Q1-2025 $5.17B $373M $-268M -5.18% $-0.93 $599M
Q4-2024 $7.36B $411M $441M 5.99% $1.16 $1.56B

Balance Statement

Period Cash & Short-term Total Assets Total Liabilities Total Equity
Q4-2025 $4.07B $3.86B $36.44B $5.11B
Q3-2025 $602M $38.02B $32.8B $5.21B
Q2-2025 $458M $38.15B $33.31B $4.82B
Q1-2025 $561M $38.23B $33.39B $4.83B
Q4-2024 $1.19B $37.77B $32.19B $5.57B

Cash Flow Statement

Period Net Income Cash From Operations Cash From Investing Cash From Financing Net Change Free Cash Flow
Q4-2025 $-711M $1.43B $-2.23B $986M $153M $-722M
Q3-2025 $652M $1.47B $-491M $-833M $143M $1.01B
Q2-2025 $327M $572M $-610M $-63M $-101M $-118M
Q1-2025 $-268M $599M $-1.06B $-164M $-626M $-169M
Q4-2024 $490M $1.35B $-317M $-754M $282M $923M

Revenue by Products

Product Q4-2024Q1-2025Q2-2025Q4-2025
Capacity Revenue
Capacity Revenue
$40.00M $20.00M $30.00M $180.00M
Hedging And Other Revenues
Hedging And Other Revenues
$0 $-510.00M $50.00M $0
Intersegment Sales
Intersegment Sales
$0 $0 $-2600.00M $0
Retail Energy Charge In ERCOT
Retail Energy Charge In ERCOT
$3.86Bn $1.99Bn $2.21Bn $4.77Bn
Retail Energy Charge In NortheastMidwest
Retail Energy Charge In NortheastMidwest
$1.88Bn $1.04Bn $790.00M $2.23Bn
Revenue From Other Wholesale Contracts
Revenue From Other Wholesale Contracts
$510.00M $330.00M $250.00M $560.00M
Total Other Revenues
Total Other Revenues
$620.00M $-320.00M $500.00M $0
Wholesale Generation Revenue From ERCOT
Wholesale Generation Revenue From ERCOT
$970.00M $870.00M $470.00M $1.84Bn

Revenue by Geography

Region Q2-2025Q4-2025
East Segment
East Segment
$1.48Bn $4.69Bn
West Segment
West Segment
$70.00M $260.00M

Q4 2025 Earnings Call Summary

Read Call Summary

5-Year Trend Analysis

A comprehensive look at Vistra Corp.'s financial evolution and strategic trajectory over the past five years.

+ Strengths

The combined information portrays Vistra as a large, established energy company with a substantial revenue base, solid reported operating profitability, and a strategic asset mix that blends conventional generation with nuclear, solar, and battery storage. Its vertically integrated model, sizeable customer base, and sophisticated risk management contribute to more stable earnings than a pure merchant generator might enjoy. On the strategic side, its innovation platforms, especially Vistra Zero and Vistra Vision, position it to benefit from the shift toward cleaner, more reliable power, including growing demand from data centers and other energy‑intensive sectors.

! Risks

Financially, the most notable concerns stem from data inconsistencies and unusual metrics: negative EBITDA despite positive earnings, zero operating cash flow in the period, a balance sheet dominated by cash with no equity and odd working capital figures, and no visible capital investment in the reported year. If these patterns were representative of the full company, they would raise questions about cash generation, sustainability of shareholder returns, and the true level of leverage. Strategically, Vistra faces the usual sector risks—regulatory change, energy transition pressures, execution risk on large projects, and intense competition for clean‑energy opportunities—that can affect profitability and capital needs over time.

Outlook

Based on the narrative and strategic information, Vistra appears well aligned with long‑term trends toward decarbonization and rising electricity demand, especially from digital and AI‑driven loads. Its combination of nuclear, storage, and renewables, layered onto a broad generation and retail platform, offers meaningful opportunity if executed prudently. However, the limited and internally inconsistent financial snapshot introduces significant uncertainty about the underlying cash economics and capital structure. A balanced perspective would treat the strategic outlook as promising but contingent on clearer, more consistent financial reporting and demonstrated conversion of accounting profits into durable cash flows.