WING - Wingstop Inc. Stock Analysis | Stock Taper
Logo
Wingstop Inc.

WING

Wingstop Inc. NASDAQ
$259.51 -4.59% (-12.49)

Market Cap $7.21 B
52w High $388.14
52w Low $204.00
Dividend Yield 0.46%
Frequency Quarterly
P/E 41.86
Volume 665.72K
Outstanding Shares 27.79M

Income Statement

Period Revenue Operating Expense Net Income Net Profit Margin Earnings Per Share EBITDA
Q4-2025 $175.69M $97.07M $26.76M 15.23% $0.97 $54.15M
Q3-2025 $175.74M $36.89M $28.48M 16.2% $1.02 $55.07M
Q2-2025 $174.33M $39.16M $26.76M 15.35% $0.96 $51.45M
Q1-2025 $171.09M $44.2M $92.27M 53.93% $3.25 $138.33M
Q4-2024 $161.82M $36.06M $26.75M 16.53% $0.92 $49M

What's going well?

Gross margins are much higher, meaning the company keeps more from each sale. The business remains profitable and generates solid cash flow.

What's concerning?

Operating expenses ballooned, eating into profits. Net income and earnings per share both slipped, and the flat revenue is a red flag for growth.

Balance Statement

Period Cash & Short-term Total Assets Total Liabilities Total Equity
Q4-2025 $238.71M $693.41M $1.43B $-736.76M
Q3-2025 $286.11M $721.03M $1.42B $-702.62M
Q2-2025 $227.94M $708.29M $1.39B $-686M
Q1-2025 $251.38M $696.8M $1.41B $-714.98M
Q4-2024 $315.91M $716.25M $1.39B $-675.59M

What's financially strong about this company?

The company can easily pay its short-term bills, with current assets more than three times current liabilities. Customers are prepaying for services, providing a cash boost.

What are the financial risks or weaknesses?

Debt far outweighs assets, and shareholder equity is deeply negative, which is risky. Cash is falling, and the company has a history of losses, leaving little margin for error if business slows.

Cash Flow Statement

Period Net Income Cash From Operations Cash From Investing Cash From Financing Net Change Free Cash Flow
Q4-2025 $26.76M $57.31M $-32.15M $-69.33M $-47.4M $34.48M
Q3-2025 $28.48M $63.87M $-2.22M $-48.25M $11.14M $61.65M
Q2-2025 $26.76M $6.58M $-23.58M $-8.74M $-25.73M $-7.78M
Q1-2025 $92.27M $25.29M $40.49M $-140.41M $-74.63M $17.27M
Q4-2024 $26.75M $7.74M $-12.35M $233.05M $228.44M $-8.61M

What's strong about this company's cash flow?

WING consistently generates more cash from operations than it reports as profit, showing high-quality earnings. The company has a healthy cash cushion and is able to fund buybacks and dividends from its own cash flow.

What are the cash flow concerns?

Free cash flow fell sharply this quarter due to much higher capital spending and large buybacks. The cash returned to shareholders exceeded free cash flow, which could pressure the cash balance if it continues.

Revenue by Products

Product Q3-2024Q1-2025Q2-2025Q3-2025
Advertising
Advertising
$60.00M $60.00M $60.00M $60.00M
Franchisor Owned Outlet
Franchisor Owned Outlet
$30.00M $30.00M $30.00M $30.00M
Royalty Franchise Fees And Other
Royalty Franchise Fees And Other
$70.00M $80.00M $80.00M $80.00M

Q4 2025 Earnings Call Summary

Read Call Summary

5-Year Trend Analysis

A comprehensive look at Wingstop Inc.'s financial evolution and strategic trajectory over the past five years.

+ Strengths

Wingstop combines rapid revenue growth with unusually strong and improving profitability for a restaurant concept. Its asset-light, franchise-driven model generates attractive cash flows, while digital capabilities and the Smart Kitchen initiative enhance efficiency and customer convenience. The brand is clearly positioned around flavor and wings, with simple operations and strong unit economics that appeal to franchisees. Free cash flow is robust, supporting both growth investments and returns to shareholders, and the company has a long runway for new restaurant openings domestically and internationally.

! Risks

The main financial risk lies in the balance sheet: rising debt levels and negative equity reflect a more aggressive capital structure that depends on continued strong performance and access to credit. Recent margin gains have been aided by favorable cost dynamics that may not be permanent, particularly for chicken and labor. Heavy emphasis on one product category increases exposure to commodity price swings and changing consumer preferences. Aggressive share repurchases and dividends, funded in part with debt, reduce flexibility if conditions turn. There is also some inconsistency between very strong recent earnings trends and persistently negative retained earnings, which warrants closer scrutiny of historical capital allocation and accounting.

Outlook

If Wingstop can sustain solid same-store sales growth, keep opening new units at its recent pace, and preserve most of its margin gains, its financial profile remains very attractive: high growth, high returns, and strong cash generation. The company also has meaningful optionality in technology, loyalty, and international expansion that could extend its growth runway. At the same time, its elevated leverage and unusually strong recent margins leave less room for error. Future results will be heavily influenced by management’s balance between continued innovation and capital returns, as well as by external factors such as food costs, labor markets, interest rates, and consumer spending trends.