WMG - Warner Music Group C... Stock Analysis | Stock Taper
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Warner Music Group Corp.

WMG

Warner Music Group Corp. NASDAQ
$28.60 2.22% (+0.62)

Market Cap $14.94 B
52w High $34.94
52w Low $25.56
Dividend Yield 2.43%
Frequency Quarterly
P/E 50.18
Volume 2.21M
Outstanding Shares 522.25M

Income Statement

Period Revenue Operating Expense Net Income Net Profit Margin Earnings Per Share EBITDA
Q1-2026 $1.84B $427M $176M 9.57% $0.34 $390M
Q4-2025 $1.87B $691M $109M 5.84% $0.21 $339M
Q3-2025 $1.69B $607M $-16M -0.95% $-0.03 $128M
Q2-2025 $1.48B $525M $36M 2.43% $0.07 $194M
Q1-2025 $1.67B $558M $236M 14.17% $0.45 $453M

What's going well?

Net income and operating profit jumped sharply, with EPS up 62%. The company managed to boost profits even as sales dipped, showing it can control costs when needed.

What's concerning?

Revenue shrank and gross margins were squeezed, meaning the core business is under pressure. Rising costs and falling sales could be a warning sign if the trend continues.

Balance Statement

Period Cash & Short-term Total Assets Total Liabilities Total Equity
Q1-2026 $751M $10.01B $9.18B $720M
Q4-2025 $532M $9.83B $9.07B $647M
Q3-2025 $527M $9.78B $8.96B $589M
Q2-2025 $637M $9.57B $8.78B $567M
Q1-2025 $802M $9.15B $8.45B $545M

What's financially strong about this company?

Cash increased sharply this quarter, and the company is paying suppliers faster. Shareholder equity is positive and grew, showing some improvement. Most debt is long-term, so there are no immediate repayment cliffs.

What are the financial risks or weaknesses?

Debt is very high compared to equity and assets, and cash is still low relative to what they owe soon. Nearly half of assets are intangible, which could be written down if business weakens. Negative retained earnings show a history of losses.

Cash Flow Statement

Period Net Income Cash From Operations Cash From Investing Cash From Financing Net Change Free Cash Flow
Q1-2026 $175M $440M $-52M $-159M $219M $390M
Q4-2025 $109M $231M $-67M $-153M $5M $203M
Q3-2025 $-16M $46M $-71M $-96M $-110M $-25M
Q2-2025 $36M $69M $-121M $-121M $-165M $-46M
Q1-2025 $241M $332M $-81M $-127M $108M $296M

What's strong about this company's cash flow?

WMG is generating much more cash than it reports as profit, with operating cash flow and free cash flow both jumping sharply this quarter. The company is self-funding, returning cash to shareholders, and building up its cash reserves.

What are the cash flow concerns?

Some cash was used up by lower payables and higher inventory, which could be a sign of changing business conditions. Stock-based compensation, while not huge, does create some dilution.

Revenue by Products

Product Q2-2025Q3-2025Q4-2025Q1-2026
Music Publishing
Music Publishing
$310.00M $340.00M $340.00M $360.00M
Recorded Music
Recorded Music
$1.18Bn $1.35Bn $1.53Bn $1.48Bn

Q1 2026 Earnings Call Summary

Read Call Summary

5-Year Trend Analysis

A comprehensive look at Warner Music Group Corp.'s financial evolution and strategic trajectory over the past five years.

+ Strengths

WMG benefits from a powerful combination of a globally recognized brand, a vast and monetizable music catalog, and a strong foothold in both recorded music and publishing. Financially, it has shown consistent revenue growth, stable gross margins, and significant improvement in free cash flow over time. Its global reach, artist relationships, and willingness to adopt AI and data-driven tools position it as a forward-looking incumbent capable of shaping the future of the music industry rather than simply reacting to it.

! Risks

Key concerns center on leverage, liquidity, and margin pressure. The company carries a substantial debt load and operates with relatively thin short-term liquidity, leaving it more exposed to shocks, refinancing risks, and interest rate movements. Net income and earnings per share have declined from their peak despite higher revenue, reflecting rising operating and interest costs. Strategically, WMG must navigate intense competition from other majors and independent channels, evolving streaming economics, and the uncertain impact of AI-generated music and regulatory changes on the value of its catalog.

Outlook

The overall outlook is balanced. WMG’s strong market position, growing catalog, and improving free cash flow provide a solid foundation, while its push into AI, analytics, and artist-centric services creates meaningful upside if these initiatives scale successfully. At the same time, the capital structure and recent profitability trends introduce financial and operational constraints that limit flexibility. Future performance will likely hinge on the company’s ability to maintain steady revenue growth, contain costs and interest burdens, successfully monetize new digital and AI offerings, and gradually strengthen its balance sheet and liquidity profile.