COP - ConocoPhillips Stock Analysis | Stock Taper
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ConocoPhillips

COP

ConocoPhillips NYSE
$113.46 2.49% (+2.76)

Market Cap $138.69 B
52w High $113.80
52w Low $79.88
Dividend Yield 3.58%
Frequency Quarterly
P/E 17.87
Volume 8.76M
Outstanding Shares 1.22B

Income Statement

Period Revenue Operating Expense Net Income Net Profit Margin Earnings Per Share EBITDA
Q4-2025 $13.31B $607M $1.44B 10.84% $1.17 $5.08B
Q3-2025 $15.03B $867M $1.73B 11.48% $1.38 $6.16B
Q2-2025 $13.98B $822M $1.96B 14.05% $1.56 $6.21B
Q1-2025 $16.46B $742M $2.84B 17.26% $2.23 $7.57B
Q4-2024 $14.24B $1.15B $2.3B 16.15% $1.9 $5.91B

What's going well?

The company stayed profitable despite a big drop in revenue. Management cut operating expenses sharply, and a lower share count helped cushion EPS.

What's concerning?

Sales and profits fell sharply, and margins are getting squeezed. If revenue keeps dropping, profits could come under more pressure.

Balance Statement

Period Cash & Short-term Total Assets Total Liabilities Total Equity
Q4-2025 $6.98B $121.94B $57.45B $64.49B
Q3-2025 $6.26B $122.47B $57.55B $64.92B
Q2-2025 $5.34B $122.6B $57.03B $65.57B
Q1-2025 $7.24B $124.25B $59.02B $65.24B
Q4-2024 $6.11B $122.78B $57.98B $64.8B

What's financially strong about this company?

COP has a huge base of real, tangible assets and almost no intangible risks. Cash is up, debt is manageable, and equity is much higher than what they owe. They’re also buying back shares, showing confidence.

What are the financial risks or weaknesses?

Liquidity is only adequate, not exceptional, and book value dipped slightly. Inventory and receivables are creeping up, so if oil prices fall, cash flow could tighten.

Cash Flow Statement

Period Net Income Cash From Operations Cash From Investing Cash From Financing Net Change Free Cash Flow
Q4-2025 $1.44B $4.32B $-850M $-2.16B $1.32B $1.29B
Q3-2025 $1.73B $5.88B $-3.18B $-2.32B $359M $12.54B
Q2-2025 $1.96B $3.48B $-2.46B $-2.48B $-1.41B $199M
Q1-2025 $2.85B $6.12B $-2.35B $-3.14B $715M $2.74B
Q4-2024 $2.31B $4.46B $-2.2B $-1.77B $383M $1.14B

What's strong about this company's cash flow?

COP continues to generate billions in cash from its core business, pays down debt, and returns significant cash to shareholders through dividends and buybacks. The company has a strong cash cushion and isn't dependent on outside funding.

What are the cash flow concerns?

Free cash flow fell sharply this quarter, and operating cash flow dropped by over $1.5 billion. Shareholder returns now exceed free cash flow, which could be a warning sign if this trend continues.

Revenue by Products

Product Q1-2025Q2-2025Q3-2025Q4-2025
Crude oil product line
Crude oil product line
$10.83Bn $9.53Bn $10.01Bn $8.70Bn
Natural Gas Liquids
Natural Gas Liquids
$1.05Bn $940.00M $890.00M $830.00M
Natural Gas Product Line
Natural Gas Product Line
$2.83Bn $1.93Bn $2.02Bn $2.07Bn
Other Products
Other Products
$1.80Bn $1.61Bn $2.12Bn $0

Revenue by Geography

Region Q1-2025Q2-2025Q3-2025Q4-2025
CANADA
CANADA
$950.00M $740.00M $800.00M $3.11Bn
CHINA
CHINA
$240.00M $260.00M $230.00M $0
LIBYA
LIBYA
$510.00M $410.00M $430.00M $0
Lower48
Lower48
$13.11Bn $11.14Bn $11.89Bn $5.27Bn
MALAYSIA
MALAYSIA
$190.00M $220.00M $200.00M $0
NORWAY
NORWAY
$610.00M $430.00M $460.00M $0
UNITED KINGDOM
UNITED KINGDOM
$640.00M $600.00M $670.00M $0

Q4 2025 Earnings Call Summary

Read Call Summary

5-Year Trend Analysis

A comprehensive look at ConocoPhillips's financial evolution and strategic trajectory over the past five years.

+ Strengths

Key strengths include a broad portfolio of low‑cost, long‑life assets; strong and recurring operating cash flow; a solid, largely tangible asset base; and disciplined cost control. The company’s scale, technical expertise, and global diversification, combined with a reasonably strong balance sheet and a clear capital allocation framework, support its ability to fund major projects and return cash to shareholders across cycles.

! Risks

Main risks center on commodity price volatility, which has already driven significant swings in revenue, earnings, and free cash flow. Rising, though recently moderated, debt levels; large, lumpy capital projects; and ambitious shareholder return commitments can all strain cash if prices weaken or projects underperform. Longer term, the energy transition, regulatory shifts, and potential carbon costs pose structural risks to demand and profitability for traditional oil and gas producers.

Outlook

Looking ahead, ConocoPhillips appears positioned to remain a leading upstream player with strong cash‑generating capacity, provided commodity prices stay within a reasonable range. Its growth projects in LNG, U.S. shale, Alaska, and Norway, alongside continued efficiency gains and emissions reduction efforts, could support stable or improving cash flows over time. However, the outlook is inherently uncertain and will be shaped by future oil and gas prices, execution on major projects and integrations, and the pace and policy path of the global shift toward lower‑carbon energy.