MRLN - Merlin, Inc. Stock Analysis | Stock Taper
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Merlin, Inc.

MRLN

Merlin, Inc. NASDAQ
$16.09 12.60% (+1.80)

Market Cap $409.09 M
52w High $17.00
52w Low $5.88
P/E -3.21
Volume 2.03M
Outstanding Shares 25.43M

Income Statement

Period Revenue Operating Expense Net Income Net Profit Margin Earnings Per Share EBITDA
Q3-2021 $20.55M $-10.44M $5.48M 26.68% $0.46 $11.14M
Q2-2021 $20.65M $-4.11M $10.26M 49.67% $0.86 $17.48M
Q1-2021 $21.03M $-8.4M $6.85M 32.57% $0.58 $13.51M
Q4-2020 $22.01M $2.18M $15.3M 69.54% $1.29 $25.12M
Q3-2020 $24.6M $-16.64M $2.74M 11.15% $0.23 $8.9M

What's going well?

Revenue is stable and the company remains profitable. Interest expense is coming down a bit, and there are no one-time charges distorting results.

What's concerning?

Profits dropped nearly in half as costs rose while sales stayed flat. Operating efficiency is declining, and margins are getting squeezed. If this trend continues, future earnings could be at risk.

Balance Statement

Period Cash & Short-term Total Assets Total Liabilities Total Equity
Q3-2021 $223.26M $1.07B $852.03M $215.28M
Q2-2021 $117.74M $985.44M $774.36M $211.08M
Q1-2021 $115.1M $972.86M $771.16M $201.7M
Q4-2020 $141.66M $1.02B $825.63M $196.37M
Q3-2020 $203.59M $1.11B $923.6M $182.35M

What's financially strong about this company?

MRLN has more than 10 times as much cash as debt, and can easily pay all its bills with plenty left over. The company has no goodwill risk, strong retained earnings, and a very clean, high-quality asset base.

What are the financial risks or weaknesses?

Current assets dropped sharply this quarter, and a large portion of assets is now classified as 'other,' which may be less liquid or harder to value. The business is not growing its receivables or equity rapidly.

Cash Flow Statement

Period Net Income Cash From Operations Cash From Investing Cash From Financing Net Change Free Cash Flow
Q3-2021 $5.48M $9.98M $19.43M $77.99M $107.41M $-92.51M
Q2-2021 $10.26M $-13.58M $5.34M $11.31M $3.07M $-116.9M
Q1-2021 $6.85M $7.03M $27.75M $-60.21M $-25.43M $-79.15M
Q4-2020 $15.3M $14.95M $29.57M $-105.02M $-60.49M $-371.24M
Q3-2020 $2.74M $19.62M $54.96M $-91.45M $-16.88M $248.65M

What's strong about this company's cash flow?

Operating cash flow swung positive this quarter, showing the business can generate cash from its core operations. Cash on hand increased significantly, giving the company some breathing room.

What are the cash flow concerns?

Free cash flow is still deeply negative due to high capital spending, so the company can't fund itself without outside help. If losses continue, the cash cushion will shrink quickly.

Q4 2020 Earnings Call Summary

Read Call Summary

5-Year Trend Analysis

A comprehensive look at Merlin, Inc.'s financial evolution and strategic trajectory over the past five years.

+ Strengths

Key strengths include a conservative balance sheet with low leverage and strong liquidity, a lending business that generates positive operating profit and cash flow, and an established position in small-business equipment finance now reinforced by the scale and capital access of PEAC/HPS. The company’s long-standing dealer network, specialized underwriting expertise, and increasingly capable digital platforms create a solid foundation for originating and managing small-business credit. Retained earnings and a strong equity base suggest a history of overall profitability prior to the period’s unusual items.

! Risks

Major risks center on thin net margins, heavy investment leading to sharply negative free cash flow, and opaque “other” items in both the income statement and balance sheet that complicate assessment of true recurring profitability and asset quality. As a lender to small businesses, the firm is exposed to credit cycles, sector-specific downturns, and potential spikes in delinquencies. Competitive pressure from banks, captives, and fintech lenders could compress spreads or force higher marketing and technology spend. Finally, limited explicit R&D and the need to constantly modernize digital tools mean the company must execute well just to maintain its edge.

Outlook

The forward picture is balanced. Historically, Marlin demonstrated that it can run a profitable, cash-generative lending platform with strong liquidity, but the 2020 data also highlight how easily bottom-line results can be eroded by unusual costs and heavy investment. Under PEAC Solutions and HPS ownership, the strategy appears to be scaling the platform, deepening digital integration with partners, and expanding product and sector coverage. The long-term outcome will hinge on credit discipline through cycles, the realized returns on recent and future investments, and the ability to use technology and relationships to sustain an edge in an increasingly competitive small-business finance market.