NTRA - Natera, Inc. Stock Analysis | Stock Taper
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Natera, Inc.

NTRA

Natera, Inc. NASDAQ
$208.04 -3.73% (-8.06)

Market Cap $29.01 B
52w High $256.36
52w Low $125.38
P/E -90.85
Volume 2.16M
Outstanding Shares 139.45M

Income Statement

Period Revenue Operating Expense Net Income Net Profit Margin Earnings Per Share EBITDA
Q4-2025 $665.5M $469.6M $47.26M 7.1% $0.35 $-35.13M
Q3-2025 $592.18M $481.96M $-87.54M -14.78% $-0.64 $-76.43M
Q2-2025 $546.6M $457.44M $-100.94M -18.47% $-0.74 $-89.78M
Q1-2025 $501.83M $396.39M $-66.94M -13.34% $-0.5 $-56.52M
Q4-2024 $476.06M $364.38M $-53.77M -11.29% $-0.41 $-46.04M

Balance Statement

Period Cash & Short-term Total Assets Total Liabilities Total Equity
Q4-2025 $1.08B $2.4B $685.93M $1.71B
Q3-2025 $1.04B $1.82B $569.29M $1.25B
Q2-2025 $1.02B $1.76B $510.88M $1.25B
Q1-2025 $991.6M $1.73B $492.69M $1.24B
Q4-2024 $968.28M $1.66B $465.31M $1.2B

Cash Flow Statement

Period Net Income Cash From Operations Cash From Investing Cash From Financing Net Change Free Cash Flow
Q3-2025 $-87.54M $59.39M $-19.91M $1.94M $41.42M $24.48M
Q2-2025 $-100.94M $37.57M $-23.9M $12.58M $26.25M $11.68M
Q1-2025 $-66.94M $44.45M $-16.82M $544K $28.18M $22.64M
Q4-2024 $-53.77M $52.89M $-11.12M $10.97M $52.74M $34.77M
Q3-2024 $-31.59M $51.79M $42.54M $1.72M $96.05M $35.47M

What's strong about this company's cash flow?

The company is producing real cash from its core business, with operating cash flow and free cash flow both rising sharply. Cash reserves are growing, and the business is not dependent on outside funding.

What are the cash flow concerns?

Heavy use of stock-based compensation dilutes shareholders, and the boost from working capital may not last. Inventory and receivables are rising, which could hurt future cash flow if not managed.

Revenue by Products

Product Q1-2025Q2-2025Q3-2025Q4-2025
Licensing and other
Licensing and other
$0 $0 $0 $0
Product
Product
$500.00M $540.00M $590.00M $660.00M

Revenue by Geography

Region Q1-2025Q2-2025Q3-2025Q4-2025
Americas Excluding US
Americas Excluding US
$0 $0 $0 $0
ASIA PACIFIC AND OTHER
ASIA PACIFIC AND OTHER
$0 $0 $0 $0
Europe Middle East India Africa
Europe Middle East India Africa
$10.00M $10.00M $10.00M $0
UNITED STATES
UNITED STATES
$490.00M $540.00M $580.00M $650.00M

Q4 2025 Earnings Call Summary

Read Call Summary

5-Year Trend Analysis

A comprehensive look at Natera, Inc.'s financial evolution and strategic trajectory over the past five years.

+ Strengths

Key strengths include strong top‑line growth, high gross margins, and a leadership position in attractive, fast‑growing areas of genetic testing. The company’s technology platform and large proprietary dataset provide clear differentiation, while extensive clinical validation and expanding payer coverage support adoption and revenue visibility. Financially, a robust cash position, low net debt, and positive free cash flow offer resilience and flexibility to continue investing in R&D and commercialization. Together, these factors paint the picture of a company with meaningful scale, strong unit economics, and substantial strategic optionality.

! Risks

On the other hand, Natera still faces notable risks. It remains unprofitable on a net income basis, with large operating expenses driven by R&D and commercial activities. The business model is heavily exposed to reimbursement policies, clinical guideline changes, and competitive dynamics in diagnostics, any of which could affect volumes or pricing. Dependence on a few flagship products heightens the impact of any clinical, regulatory, or competitive setbacks related to those tests. There is also the long‑term question of whether the company can steadily translate its innovation and revenue growth into durable, GAAP‑level profitability without materially diluting shareholders or taking on more financial risk.

Outlook

Looking ahead, Natera’s outlook is closely tied to the continued adoption of its oncology, prenatal, and transplant tests, the durability of payer coverage, and the successful execution of its innovation roadmap. If revenue continues to grow strongly and operating costs scale more slowly over time, the company has a credible path toward improving margins and eventual profitability, supported by a solid cash cushion and leadership in attractive markets. At the same time, the environment is competitive and policy‑sensitive, so future results could vary meaningfully depending on clinical trial outcomes, reimbursement trends, and the pace at which new products and indications are converted into sustainable, cash‑generating franchises.