TVC - Tennessee Valley Aut... Stock Analysis | Stock Taper
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Tennessee Valley Authority

TVC

Tennessee Valley Authority NYSE
$24.26 -0.80% (-0.20)

Market Cap $12.74 M
52w High $24.57
52w Low $23.15
Dividend Yield 2.21%
Frequency Quarterly
P/E 0
Volume 75.38K
Outstanding Shares 525.00K

Income Statement

Period Revenue Operating Expense Net Income Net Profit Margin Earnings Per Share EBITDA
Q1-2026 $3.05B $0 $266M 8.72% $0 $571M
Q4-2025 $3.91B $-2.97B $-745M -19.03% $-1.42K $-2.87B
Q3-2025 $3.31B $728M $212M 6.41% $403.81 $1.14B
Q2-2025 $3.53B $720M $408M 11.55% $777.14 $1.32B
Q1-2025 $2.92B $703M $125M 4.28% $238.1 $413M

What's going well?

The company swung from a large loss to a $266 million profit, and gross margins improved sharply. Costs were brought under control, leading to a much healthier bottom line.

What's concerning?

Revenue fell sharply, which could signal trouble keeping customers or demand. The business looks volatile, and some key expense details are missing.

Balance Statement

Period Cash & Short-term Total Assets Total Liabilities Total Equity
Q1-2026 $0 $0 $40.73B $0
Q4-2025 $0 $0 $1.73B $0
Q3-2025 $501M $59.88B $41.98B $17.91B
Q2-2025 $527M $59.3B $41.62B $17.69B
Q1-2025 $532M $58.36B $41.06B $17.3B

What's financially strong about this company?

The only positive is a reported $18 billion in retained earnings, but this figure doesn't match the rest of the financials and may not be reliable.

What are the financial risks or weaknesses?

The company has no cash, a huge jump in short-term debt, and no assets reported. Liquidity is non-existent, and the business appears unable to cover its bills.

Cash Flow Statement

Period Net Income Cash From Operations Cash From Investing Cash From Financing Net Change Free Cash Flow
Q4-2025 $-745M $-2.08B $3.64B $-1.55B $0 $1.58B
Q3-2025 $212M $615M $-1.05B $406M $-25M $-457M
Q2-2025 $408M $1.01B $-1.2B $187M $-6M $-189M
Q1-2025 $125M $450M $-1.38B $958M $30M $-918M
Q4-2024 $-615M $1.06B $-1.04B $-17M $2M $60M

What's strong about this company's cash flow?

The company managed to generate positive free cash flow this quarter, but only by selling assets or investments. No new debt or dilution occurred.

What are the cash flow concerns?

Core operations are burning through cash at an alarming rate, and the company ended the quarter with zero cash. This is not sustainable and raises serious survival concerns.

Revenue by Geography

Region Q1-2025Q2-2025Q3-2025Q4-2025
ALABAMA
ALABAMA
$430.00M $520.00M $480.00M $570.00M
GEORGIA
GEORGIA
$70.00M $90.00M $70.00M $90.00M
KENTUCKY
KENTUCKY
$180.00M $210.00M $210.00M $240.00M
MISSISSIPPI
MISSISSIPPI
$270.00M $310.00M $310.00M $370.00M
NORTH CAROLINA
NORTH CAROLINA
$20.00M $30.00M $20.00M $20.00M
TENNESSEE
TENNESSEE
$1.89Bn $2.30Bn $2.16Bn $2.57Bn
VIRGINIA
VIRGINIA
$10.00M $20.00M $10.00M $10.00M

5-Year Trend Analysis

A comprehensive look at Tennessee Valley Authority's financial evolution and strategic trajectory over the past five years.

+ Strengths

Key positives include resilient and growing revenue, a demonstrated ability to restore profitability after setbacks, and historically strong operating cash generation. Structurally, TVA benefits from federal backing, a near‑monopoly position in its service area, a diversified generation mix, and a clear strategy focused on clean energy and grid modernization. The asset base through 2024 looked solid and tangible, with growing retained earnings and equity reflecting long‑term value creation up to that point.

! Risks

Major concerns arise from the abrupt and extreme changes reported in 2025: apparent wipeout of assets and equity, loss of operating cash flow, and a reshuffled liability structure that is hard to reconcile with ongoing operations. Even setting aside possible data or classification issues, TVA faces continued margin volatility, tight liquidity, and heavy capital needs for its energy transition projects. Regulatory, political, and technology risks—especially around advanced nuclear and large‑scale renewables—add further uncertainty to both costs and long‑term returns.

Outlook

Taken together, the underlying TVA franchise supporting TVC appears strategically strong but financially stretched by the scale and complexity of its modernization agenda. Earlier years show a pattern of steady balance sheet growth and robust cash generation, while recent data highlight both the strain of large investments and puzzling anomalies in the latest reporting. The forward path will depend heavily on how successfully TVA delivers its nuclear, renewable, and grid projects, manages regulatory relationships, and clarifies or resolves the apparent 2025 balance sheet and cash flow disruptions. This analysis is interpretive only and should not be taken as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.