WCN - Waste Connections, Inc. Stock Analysis | Stock Taper
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Waste Connections, Inc.

WCN

Waste Connections, Inc. NYSE
$172.13 1.65% (+2.79)

Market Cap $44.00 B
52w High $201.66
52w Low $155.65
Dividend Yield 0.78%
Frequency Quarterly
P/E 41.28
Volume 1.40M
Outstanding Shares 255.63M

Income Statement

Period Revenue Operating Expense Net Income Net Profit Margin Earnings Per Share EBITDA
Q4-2025 $2.41B $267.22M $262.47M 10.89% $1.03 $757.36M
Q3-2025 $2.46B $611.93M $286.27M 11.64% $1.11 $774.55M
Q2-2025 $2.41B $554.65M $290.28M 12.06% $1.12 $779.57M
Q1-2025 $2.23B $546.52M $241.51M 10.84% $0.93 $697.93M
Q4-2024 $2.26B $1.13B $-196M -8.67% $-0.76 $254.19M

What's going well?

The company stayed profitable despite a tough quarter, showing it can control costs when needed. Operating expenses fell sharply, helping protect the bottom line.

What's concerning?

Gross profit and margins dropped a lot, meaning the core business is under pressure. Revenue fell and net income slipped, so growth and profitability are both facing headwinds.

Balance Statement

Period Cash & Short-term Total Assets Total Liabilities Total Equity
Q4-2025 $45.88M $21.23B $13B $8.23B
Q3-2025 $117.6M $20.78B $12.69B $8.09B
Q2-2025 $110.17M $20.68B $12.32B $8.35B
Q1-2025 $111.23M $20.25B $12.24B $8.01B
Q4-2024 $62.37M $19.82B $11.96B $7.86B

What's financially strong about this company?

The company has a solid base of physical assets and a long history of profits. Equity keeps growing, and most debt is long-term, giving them time to manage payments.

What are the financial risks or weaknesses?

Cash is very low, and debt keeps rising, which could be risky if profits slip. Nearly half the assets are goodwill and intangibles, which could lose value if acquisitions disappoint.

Cash Flow Statement

Period Net Income Cash From Operations Cash From Investing Cash From Financing Net Change Free Cash Flow
Q4-2025 $258.5M $556.88M $-589.33M $-28.55M $-61.01M $157.45M
Q3-2025 $286.27M $677.45M $-413.94M $-239.01M $23.11M $1.18B
Q2-2025 $290.28M $638.2M $-416.76M $-205.86M $18.02M $352.89M
Q1-2025 $241.51M $541.54M $-603.21M $113.38M $51.27M $329.08M
Q4-2024 $-196M $568.93M $-513.37M $-95.41M $-40.34M $172.24M

What's strong about this company's cash flow?

WCN consistently generates positive cash from its core business, covers dividends and buybacks, and isn't reliant on outside funding. Cash conversion from earnings is very high, showing real profits.

What are the cash flow concerns?

Free cash flow fell sharply this quarter due to higher spending and less help from working capital. The cash cushion is modest, and ongoing high capital needs could pressure future cash flow.

Revenue by Products

Product Q1-2025Q2-2025Q3-2025Q4-2025
Exploration And Production Waste Treatment Recovery And Disposal
Exploration And Production Waste Treatment Recovery And Disposal
$150.00M $180.00M $190.00M $170.00M
Intermodal and Other
Intermodal and Other
$50.00M $40.00M $40.00M $40.00M
Intersegment Eliminations
Intersegment Eliminations
$-310.00M $-360.00M $-370.00M $-350.00M
Landfill
Landfill
$340.00M $400.00M $410.00M $390.00M
Solid Waste Collection
Solid Waste Collection
$1.62Bn $1.69Bn $1.73Bn $1.71Bn
Solid Waste Recycling
Solid Waste Recycling
$60.00M $70.00M $60.00M $50.00M
Transfer
Transfer
$320.00M $380.00M $390.00M $370.00M

Revenue by Geography

Region Q1-2025Q2-2025Q3-2025Q4-2025
CANADA
CANADA
$330.00M $380.00M $390.00M $360.00M
Central
Central
$410.00M $450.00M $470.00M $450.00M
Eastern
Eastern
$480.00M $530.00M $530.00M $500.00M
Southern
Southern
$510.00M $540.00M $550.00M $550.00M
Western
Western
$500.00M $530.00M $550.00M $530.00M

Q4 2025 Earnings Call Summary

Read Call Summary

5-Year Trend Analysis

A comprehensive look at Waste Connections, Inc.'s financial evolution and strategic trajectory over the past five years.

+ Strengths

Key positives include steady revenue growth, improving underlying margins, and very strong, recurring operating cash flow. The company has built a sizable, integrated asset base with solid retained earnings, reflecting years of profitable operations. Strategically, it benefits from strong positions in secondary and exclusive markets, vertical integration, and a long record of successful tuck-in acquisitions. Its practical innovation agenda in automation, renewable natural gas, and complex waste handling supports both cost efficiency and regulatory positioning.

! Risks

The main concerns center on the balance sheet and certain data anomalies. Debt and leverage have risen meaningfully, while cash balances and liquidity ratios have declined, increasing sensitivity to interest rates, credit markets, and any downturn in performance. The business model’s reliance on acquisitions creates integration and valuation risk. Parts of the portfolio are exposed to commodity and energy cycles, adding some volatility. Additionally, unusual reported figures for margins and capital spending in the latest year suggest that some headline improvements may be flattered by timing or reporting quirks that should be examined more closely.

Outlook

Based on the information provided, Waste Connections appears positioned for continued steady growth rather than dramatic swings, supported by its entrenched positions in resilient waste markets and its growing cash generation. Its strategy of focusing on less-contested markets, layering in acquisitions, and investing in operational and environmental innovation provides multiple avenues for incremental improvement. The counterbalance is a more leveraged, less liquid balance sheet, which makes maintaining strong cash flows and disciplined capital allocation especially important in the years ahead.