XPO - XPO Logistics, Inc. Stock Analysis | Stock Taper
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XPO Logistics, Inc.

XPO

XPO Logistics, Inc. NYSE
$210.47 2.60% (+5.34)

Market Cap $24.71 B
52w High $212.71
52w Low $85.06
P/E 80.03
Volume 1.38M
Outstanding Shares 117.38M

Income Statement

Period Revenue Operating Expense Net Income Net Profit Margin Earnings Per Share EBITDA
Q4-2025 $2.01B $71M $59M 2.93% $0.5 $265M
Q3-2025 $2.11B $64M $82M 3.88% $0.69 $300M
Q2-2025 $2.08B $70M $106M 5.1% $0.9 $330M
Q1-2025 $1.95B $56M $69M 3.53% $0.59 $270M
Q4-2024 $1.92B $38M $75M 3.9% $0.65 $279M

What's going well?

The company remains profitable, even with tough conditions. Non-operating income provided a small boost, and there are no major one-time charges distorting results.

What's concerning?

Revenue and profits are both down sharply, and costs are rising faster than sales. Margins are under pressure, and heavy interest expense is eating into profits.

Balance Statement

Period Cash & Short-term Total Assets Total Liabilities Total Equity
Q4-2025 $310M $8.19B $6.33B $1.86B
Q3-2025 $335M $8.19B $6.37B $1.82B
Q2-2025 $225M $8.13B $6.35B $1.78B
Q1-2025 $212M $7.88B $6.24B $1.64B
Q4-2024 $246M $7.71B $6.11B $1.6B

What's financially strong about this company?

XPO owns a lot of physical assets and has a long-term debt structure, so there’s no immediate repayment crunch. Receivables are being collected faster, and equity is slowly rising, showing some financial discipline.

What are the financial risks or weaknesses?

Cash is low compared to debt, and liquidity is just barely comfortable. The company relies heavily on debt, and a downturn could force more borrowing or tough choices if cash flow weakens.

Cash Flow Statement

Period Net Income Cash From Operations Cash From Investing Cash From Financing Net Change Free Cash Flow
Q4-2025 $59M $225M $-84M $-154M $-25M $119M
Q3-2025 $82M $371M $-150M $-111M $110M $215M
Q2-2025 $106M $247M $-191M $-44M $13M $51M
Q1-2025 $69M $139M $-191M $-27M $-34M $-60M
Q4-2024 $75M $189M $-104M $-167M $-87M $23M

What's strong about this company's cash flow?

XPO is generating real cash from its business, covering investments and buybacks without needing outside money. Debt is being paid down, and there is no dilution from stock compensation.

What are the cash flow concerns?

Operating cash flow and free cash flow both fell sharply this quarter, and working capital changes hurt cash generation. The cash balance is adequate but not large, so continued declines could be a risk.

Revenue by Products

Product Q2-2022Q3-2022Q4-2022Q1-2023
Contract Logistics
Contract Logistics
$0 $0 $0 $790.00M
Brokerage And Other Services
Brokerage And Other Services
$760.00M $690.00M $0 $0
Last Mile
Last Mile
$270.00M $260.00M $0 $0
Other Brokerage
Other Brokerage
$200.00M $190.00M $0 $0
Transportation
Transportation
$1.27Bn $1.25Bn $1.01Bn $0

Revenue by Geography

Region Q1-2025Q2-2025Q3-2025Q4-2025
Europe Excluding France And United Kingdom
Europe Excluding France And United Kingdom
$210.00M $220.00M $220.00M $220.00M
FRANCE
FRANCE
$310.00M $340.00M $330.00M $320.00M
North America Excluding United States
North America Excluding United States
$30.00M $30.00M $30.00M $30.00M
UNITED KINGDOM
UNITED KINGDOM
$260.00M $280.00M $300.00M $300.00M
UNITED STATES
UNITED STATES
$1.15Bn $1.21Bn $1.23Bn $1.14Bn

Q4 2025 Earnings Call Summary

Read Call Summary

5-Year Trend Analysis

A comprehensive look at XPO Logistics, Inc.'s financial evolution and strategic trajectory over the past five years.

+ Strengths

XPO combines a steadily growing revenue base with improving operating margins and strong, rising operating cash flow. It holds a leading position in North American LTL, supported by a large, expanding network and significant technology capabilities built directly into its operations. The balance sheet has strengthened through higher retained earnings and growing equity, and recent capital investments in fleet, terminals, and systems provide a foundation for future efficiency and growth.

! Risks

Key risks include elevated leverage, a relatively thin liquidity cushion, and a heavy reliance on continued strong cash generation to support debt and investment needs. Net income remains volatile due to one‑offs and financing costs, which can obscure underlying progress and may concern more earnings‑focused investors. The business is exposed to freight cycles, competition from other well‑capitalized LTL carriers, integration challenges with new facilities, and potential impairment risk from sizable intangible assets. Large, uneven investment cycles also introduce uncertainty around future free cash flow.

Outlook

Taken together, the data point to a company whose core operations and cash generation are on an improving path, supported by scale, technology, and a clearer strategic focus on LTL. If XPO continues to execute on its “LTL 2.0” plan, integrate recent capacity additions, and keep a firm handle on leverage and capital spending, it appears positioned to benefit from any recovery in freight demand and ongoing share shifts within the industry. At the same time, the cyclical, capital‑intensive nature of the business and its reliance on strong execution mean future results are likely to remain sensitive to both macro conditions and management discipline.